College Football Ratings · 2025
College Football Ratings — Week 4
96 FBS teams · 11 conferences · Through September 22, 2025 · Updated Jul 28, 11:22 PM ET
Home field worth 3.5 pts (estimated this season)
Team ratings
| # | Team | Conf | Rec | SRS | SOS | Elo | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon | Big Ten | 4–0 | +21.55 | -6.77 | 2095 | +1.4 |
| 2 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4–0 | +19.90 | +1.23 | 2031 | +22.5 |
| 3 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4–0 | +19.49 | -5.50 | 1978 | +85.7 |
| 4 | Miami | ACC | 4–0 | +17.88 | -0.13 | 1932 | +38.8 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 3–1 | +16.81 | +0.40 | 1927 | +5.9 |
| 6 | USC | Big Ten | 4–0 | +16.38 | -4.34 | 1869 | +17.9 |
| 7 | Texas | SEC | 3–1 | +15.99 | -3.96 | 2023 | +3.9 |
| 8 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4–0 | +15.02 | -9.28 | 1908 | +5.0 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | SEC | 4–0 | +14.04 | -0.98 | 1891 | +26.1 |
| 10 | Missouri | SEC | 4–0 | +13.01 | -3.03 | 1943 | +26.9 |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 4–0 | +12.91 | -1.91 | 1981 | +4.3 |
| 12 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 3–1 | +11.45 | +0.83 | 1897 | +26.7 |
| 12 | Arkansas | SEC | 2–2 | +11.45 | -1.32 | 1762 | -8.2 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3–1 | +11.03 | +1.26 | 1891 | +23.5 |
| 15 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3–1 | +10.98 | -6.60 | 1814 | +42.1 |
| 16 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4–0 | +10.48 | -15.72 | 1813 | +110.2 |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 3–1 | +10.10 | -1.27 | 1745 | -26.1 |
| 18 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3–1 | +9.88 | -4.02 | 1846 | -85.7 |
| 19 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4–0 | +9.65 | -2.56 | 1918 | +0.0 |
| 20 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4–0 | +9.04 | -7.35 | 1886 | +8.2 |
| 21 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3–1 | +8.83 | -5.57 | 1700 | -23.5 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3–1 | +8.54 | -10.63 | 1854 | +60.7 |
| 23 | SMU | ACC | 2–2 | +8.47 | -3.23 | 1795 | -46.4 |
| 24 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4–0 | +8.30 | -4.26 | 1806 | +8.5 |
| 25 | Utah | Big 12 | 3–1 | +7.99 | -7.58 | 1676 | -110.2 |
| 26 | South Carolina | SEC | 2–2 | +7.54 | +2.11 | 1780 | -26.9 |
| 27 | Virginia | ACC | 3–1 | +6.68 | -10.10 | 1654 | +37.4 |
| 28 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2–2 | +6.57 | +0.15 | 1676 | +28.6 |
| 29 | Florida | SEC | 1–3 | +6.42 | +2.65 | 1768 | -38.8 |
| 29 | Syracuse | ACC | 3–1 | +6.42 | -1.35 | 1866 | +76.5 |
| 31 | North Texas | American Athletic | 4–0 | +6.41 | -7.04 | 1724 | +69.7 |
| 32 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4–0 | +5.92 | -9.65 | 1721 | +75.8 |
| 33 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2–2 | +5.88 | -0.49 | 1734 | -26.7 |
| 34 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4–0 | +4.84 | -10.01 | 1627 | +64.1 |
| 35 | Clemson | ACC | 1–3 | +4.56 | +4.97 | 1729 | -76.5 |
| 36 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 1–3 | +4.26 | +3.10 | 1664 | +0.0 |
| 37 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3–1 | +4.22 | +2.44 | 1713 | +27.7 |
| 38 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3–1 | +3.23 | -7.34 | 1694 | +9.4 |
| 39 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3–1 | +3.19 | +1.80 | 1751 | -22.5 |
| 40 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3–1 | +2.57 | -8.90 | 1702 | -60.7 |
| 41 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2–2 | +2.19 | -8.04 | 1547 | -24.1 |
| 42 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2–2 | +0.55 | -6.70 | 1594 | -31.2 |
| 43 | NC State | ACC | 3–1 | +0.41 | -0.19 | 1649 | -52.7 |
| 44 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2–2 | +0.34 | +0.76 | 1792 | +8.7 |
| 45 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2–2 | +0.02 | -2.68 | 1551 | -75.8 |
| 46 | Duke | ACC | 2–2 | -0.05 | -0.85 | 1727 | +52.7 |
| 47 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3–1 | -0.36 | -1.83 | 1608 | -17.9 |
| 48 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 1–3 | -0.50 | +2.52 | 1523 | +21.7 |
| 49 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4–0 | -0.95 | -13.08 | 1840 | +15.8 |
| 50 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4–1 | -1.78 | -10.89 | 1667 | +20.2 |
| 51 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2–2 | -1.98 | -9.94 | 1620 | +12.3 |
| 52 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -2.02 | -7.74 | 1789 | +4.7 |
| 53 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 2–2 | -2.03 | -4.57 | 1629 | -42.1 |
| 54 | UTSA | American Athletic | 2–2 | -2.08 | -1.96 | 1657 | +13.2 |
| 55 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3–1 | -2.75 | -9.25 | 1565 | +34.6 |
| 56 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2–2 | -2.80 | +2.51 | 1478 | -4.3 |
| 57 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3–1 | -2.85 | -7.45 | 1580 | +16.3 |
| 58 | California | ACC | 3–1 | -2.95 | -12.99 | 1608 | -154.7 |
| 59 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 2–2 | -3.14 | -11.63 | 1618 | +4.4 |
| 60 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2–2 | -3.54 | -2.59 | 1554 | -13.5 |
| 61 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3–1 | -3.87 | -12.19 | 1549 | +19.9 |
| 62 | North Carolina | ACC | 2–2 | -3.93 | -4.58 | 1560 | -73.2 |
| 63 | Missouri State | Conference USA | 2–2 | -6.61 | -0.38 | 1592 | +19.8 |
| 64 | Delaware | Conference USA | 3–1 | -6.88 | -9.04 | 1636 | +53.4 |
| 64 | Stanford | ACC | 1–3 | -6.88 | +2.46 | 1459 | -37.4 |
| 66 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2–2 | -7.34 | +1.20 | 1526 | -30.5 |
| 67 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -7.58 | -3.70 | 1599 | +16.3 |
| 68 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -7.75 | -4.67 | 1621 | +52.2 |
| 69 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1–3 | -8.40 | +4.53 | 1384 | +24.1 |
| 70 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2–2 | -8.75 | -5.20 | 1473 | -28.6 |
| 71 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1–3 | -9.00 | -9.27 | 1513 | -60.1 |
| 72 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1–3 | -9.19 | -6.48 | 1460 | -126.0 |
| 73 | Temple | American Athletic | 2–2 | -9.67 | -7.80 | 1404 | -8.5 |
| 74 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2–2 | -10.00 | -17.61 | 1577 | -52.2 |
| 75 | Liberty | Conference USA | 1–3 | -10.26 | -6.82 | 1470 | -48.2 |
| 76 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3–2 | -10.39 | -8.36 | 1505 | -20.2 |
| 77 | Rice | American Athletic | 3–1 | -10.78 | -13.13 | 1506 | +59.3 |
| 78 | UAB | American Athletic | 2–2 | -11.79 | -2.94 | 1447 | -5.9 |
| 79 | Florida International | Conference USA | 2–2 | -12.08 | -8.43 | 1388 | -53.4 |
| 80 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1–3 | -12.10 | -5.51 | 1373 | -56.0 |
| 81 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 1–3 | -12.21 | -3.66 | 1463 | -83.2 |
| 82 | Akron | Mid-American | 1–3 | -12.50 | -9.10 | 1398 | +96.4 |
| 83 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -13.25 | -6.99 | 1434 | -34.6 |
| 84 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2–2 | -13.41 | -7.91 | 1359 | +17.0 |
| 85 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1–3 | -13.85 | -4.86 | 1300 | -19.9 |
| 86 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 0–4 | -13.99 | +6.82 | 1383 | -1.4 |
| 87 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2–2 | -14.03 | -9.44 | 1369 | +102.1 |
| 88 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 0–4 | -14.10 | +0.19 | 1453 | -3.9 |
| 89 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -14.22 | -7.83 | 1510 | +126.0 |
| 90 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 2–2 | -14.60 | -6.21 | 1348 | +83.2 |
| 91 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1–3 | -14.78 | +2.67 | 1381 | -5.0 |
| 92 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1–3 | -15.80 | -1.99 | 1362 | -12.3 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1–3 | -16.45 | -6.28 | 1303 | +60.1 |
| 94 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 1–3 | -20.16 | -10.06 | 1338 | -59.3 |
| 95 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 1–3 | -22.88 | -6.76 | 1197 | -4.7 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1–3 | -24.15 | -4.90 | 1146 | -5.8 |
Ratings are points relative to an average FBS team on a neutral field, so a difference between two teams is a projected spread. Ranks are re-based to the teams shown and are assigned on the displayed values, so teams with identical published ratings share a rank.
Conference strength
| # | Conference | Teams | Avg SRS | Top 25 | Best team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEC | 12 | +12.34 | 9 | Ole Miss+19.90 |
| 2 | Big Ten | 12 | +8.42 | 7 | Oregon+21.55 |
| 3 | Big 12 | 9 | +7.25 | 5 | Arizona State+11.45 |
| 4 | ACC | 12 | +3.20 | 3 | Miami+17.88 |
| — | FBS Independents | 1 | -1.98 | 0 | UConn-1.98 |
| 5 | American Athletic | 11 | -4.10 | 1 | Memphis+9.04 |
| 6 | Mountain West | 6 | -6.43 | 0 | UNLV-0.95 |
| 7 | Sun Belt | 10 | -8.68 | 0 | Texas State+3.23 |
| 8 | Conference USA | 11 | -9.93 | 0 | Louisiana Tech-2.75 |
| 9 | Mid-American | 10 | -10.17 | 0 | Toledo+2.19 |
| — | Pac-12 | 2 | -10.66 | 0 | Washington State-7.34 |
Leagues too small for a mean to mean anything are listed with their real numbers but are not ranked — a three-team independents bucket is not a league, and ranking it would say more about who happens to be in it than about its strength.
This week's movers
Risers
- Coastal CarolinaSun Belt+126.0
- Texas TechBig 12+110.2
- TulsaAmerican Athletic+102.1
- AkronMid-American+96.4
- IndianaBig Ten+85.7
Fallers
- CaliforniaACC-154.7
- South AlabamaSun Belt-126.0
- UtahBig 12-110.2
- IllinoisBig Ten-85.7
- Arkansas StateSun Belt-83.2
Change in Elo rating over this week's games.
Next week's projected margins
| Game | Projection | Home win % |
|---|---|---|
| LSU at Ole Miss | Ole Miss by 10.4 | 74% |
| Indiana at Iowa | Indiana by 7.5 | 32% |
| USC at Illinois | USC by 3.0 | 43% |
| Tennessee at Mississippi State | Tennessee by 8.5 | 30% |
| Utah State at Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt by 21.3 | 91% |
| Duke at Syracuse | Syracuse by 9.9 | 73% |
| Utah at West Virginia | Utah by 6.6 | 34% |
| Virginia Tech at NC State | NC State by 4.4 | 61% |
| South Alabama at North Texas | North Texas by 19.1 | 88% |
| Bowling Green at Ohio | Ohio by 7.3 | 68% |
| Akron at Toledo | Toledo by 18.1 | 87% |
| Western Kentucky at Missouri State | Missouri State by 0.7 | 52% |
| Tulane at Tulsa | Tulane by 13.8 | 20% |
| Marshall at Louisiana | Marshall by 3.5 | 41% |
| UConn at Buffalo | UConn by 4.6 | 39% |
| Louisiana Tech at UTEP | Louisiana Tech by 5.9 | 36% |
| Jacksonville State at Southern Miss | Jacksonville State by 6.7 | 34% |
| Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan | Central Michigan by 6.5 | 66% |
| Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State by 11.7 | 77% |
These ratings already include this week's results, so they project next week's games — projecting this week's with them would be reporting the past as a forecast. Games where either side is unrated are omitted rather than projected off a missing rating. Context, not betting advice.
Methodology
- These ratings are computed here from final scores — they are not a republished third-party rating. Nothing on this page comes from a subscription or permission-gated system.
- SRS is a ridge-regularized least-squares fit: each team's rating is chosen so that (home rating - away rating + home-field) best predicts the margin of every game played. It is a whole-season simultaneous solve, so a late upset re-weighs the entire season.
- Elo walks the games in date order and updates after each one, with diminishing credit for blowouts. It reacts to a team improving mid-season in a way a season-long average cannot, and it carries a regressed rating in from last season.
- Ratings are points relative to an average FBS team on a neutral field, so a difference between two teams is a projected spread.
- Home-field advantage is ESTIMATED from the season's own games rather than assumed. Measured home margin has ranged from about 2 points (2020, no crowds) to nearly 8 by season, so a fixed constant would be wrong in both directions.
- Strength of schedule is the average rating of the opponents a team actually played. Teams below Division I are pooled into a single opponent, so scheduling one cannot inflate a schedule rating.
- Blowouts are capped before they enter the fit, so a 63-0 win counts as a decisive win rather than four times a 17-0 win.
- Teams with fewer than four completed games are not rated: with a shorter schedule the rating reflects the prior more than the season.
- Validated walk-forward on 3,867 held-out games (2018-2025), fitting only on games played before each week: SRS predicted game margin to 12.7 points mean absolute error, against 13.5 for the same model with the schedule adjustment removed and 16.1 for assuming the home team wins.
What these numbers can't tell you
- These ratings see final scores only — no injuries, no weather, no personnel changes, no market information. A team missing its starting quarterback is rated exactly as if it were not.
- The consensus betting market predicted the same held-out games better (12.1 vs 12.7 mean absolute error). Projected margins here are context, not betting advice, and should not be read as an edge.
- Early-season ratings are unstable by construction. Through the first month a rating rests on three or four results and will move sharply; treat November's ratings as far more settled than September's.
- FCS teams are rated internally because FBS teams play them, but are not listed. A rating is only comparable within the population it was anchored on.
FACT (final scores, schedule, site, conference affiliation), DERIVED (SRS, Elo, strength of schedule, projected margins)
Fitted constants
- margin_cap
- 35
- ridge
- 0.25
- prior_weight
- 2
- elo_k
- 46
- elo_hfa
- 60
- elo_carry
- 0.87
- elo_epoch_season
- 2002
- min_games_to_rank
- 4
More for this week