College Football Betting · 2025

College Football Week 4 Betting Lines

62 games priced · 62 graded · September 20, 2025 · Updated Jul 28, 11:26 PM ET

The week in the market

Home ATS
30–31–1
wins–losses–pushes
Favorites ATS
33–28–1
14 straight-up upsets
Over / under
34–28
Average total
52.8
avg spread 15.3

Every game

Michigan at Nebraska

Final

Michigan 30 · Nebraska 27

Conference game
Spread
Michigan −1.5
Nebraska +1.5
3 books
Total
47.5
3 books
Moneyline
−118 / −102
Nebraska 48% to win
3 books
Spread moved -1.5 (3.0 1.5, 3 books)
Total moved +3.0 (44.5 47.5, 2 books)
Result

Michigan covered · by 1.5 · 57 points — over

UNLV at Miami (OH)

Final

UNLV 41 · Miami (OH) 38

Spread
UNLV −1.5
Miami (OH) +1.5
3 books
Total
49.5
3 books
Moneyline
−130 / +110
Miami (OH) 46% to win
3 books
Spread moved -2.0 (3.5 1.5, 3 books)
Result

UNLV covered · by 1.5 · 79 points — over

Rice at Charlotte

Final

Rice 28 · Charlotte 17

Conference game
Spread
Rice −1.5
Charlotte +1.5
3 books
Total
42.0
3 books
Moneyline
−130 / +110
Charlotte 46% to win
3 books
Spread moved -4.0 (5.5 1.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (42.5 41.5, 2 books)
Result

Rice covered · by 9.5 · 45 points — over

Iowa at Rutgers

Final

Iowa 38 · Rutgers 28

Conference game
Spread
Iowa −2.5
Rutgers +2.5
3 books
Total
46.5
3 books
Moneyline
−130 / +110
Rutgers 46% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (2.5 2.5, 3 books)
Total moved +1.0 (45.5 46.5, 2 books)
Result

Iowa covered · by 7.5 · 66 points — over

Marshall at Middle Tennessee

Final

Marshall 42 · Middle Tennessee 28

Spread
Marshall −2.5
Middle Tennessee +2.5
3 books
Total
46.5
3 books
Moneyline
−135 / +114
Middle Tennessee 45% to win
3 books
Spread moved -1.0 (3.5 2.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (46.5 45.5, 2 books)
Result

Marshall covered · by 11.5 · 70 points — over

Fresno State at Hawai'i

Final

Fresno State 23 · Hawai'i 21

Conference game
Spread
Fresno State −2.5
Hawai'i +2.5
3 books
Total
47.5
3 books
Moneyline
−135 / +115
Hawai'i 45% to win
3 books
Spread moved -1.0 (3.5 2.5, 3 books)
Total moved -0.5 (47.5 47.0, 2 books)
Result

Hawai'i covered · by 0.5 · 44 points — under

Louisiana at Eastern Michigan

Final

Louisiana 31 · Eastern Michigan 34

Upset
Spread
Louisiana −2.5
Eastern Michigan +2.5
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
−140 / +120
Eastern Michigan 44% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (3.0 2.5, 3 books)
Total moved -0.5 (51.5 51.0, 2 books)
Result

Eastern Michigan covered · by 5.5 · 65 points — over

North Texas at Army

Final

North Texas 45 · Army 38

Conference game
Spread
North Texas −2.5
Army +2.5
3 books
Total
50.5
3 books
Moneyline
−135 / +115
Army 45% to win
3 books
Spread moved +4.0 (-1.5 2.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.5 (52.0 50.5, 2 books)
Result

North Texas covered · by 4.5 · 83 points — over

NC State at Duke

Final

NC State 33 · Duke 45

Conference gameOn the 3
Spread
Duke −3.0
Duke -3.0
3 books
Total
57.5
3 books
Moneyline
+130 / −150
Duke 58% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-2.5 -3.0, 3 books)
Total moved -1.5 (58.5 57.0, 2 books)
Result

Duke covered · by 9.0 · 78 points — over

Arizona State at Baylor

Final

Arizona State 27 · Baylor 24

Conference gameUpsetOn the 3
Spread
Baylor −3.0
Baylor -3.0
3 books
Total
60.5
3 books
Moneyline
+120 / −140
Baylor 56% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-2.5 -3.0, 3 books)
Total moved +2.0 (58.5 60.5, 2 books)
Result

Arizona State covered · by 6.0 · 51 points — under

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech

Final

Southern Miss 20 · Louisiana Tech 30

On the 3
Spread
Louisiana Tech −3.0
Louisiana Tech -3.0
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
+130 / −150
Louisiana Tech 58% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-2.5 -3.0, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (51.5 50.5, 2 books)
Result

Louisiana Tech covered · by 7.0 · 50 points — under

Texas Tech at Utah

Final

Texas Tech 34 · Utah 10

Conference gameUpset
Spread
Utah −3.5
Utah -3.5
3 books
Total
58.5
3 books
Moneyline
+150 / −175
Utah 61% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.5 (-4.0 -3.5, 3 books)
Total moved +2.5 (55.5 58.0, 2 books)
Result

Texas Tech covered · by 27.5 · 44 points — under

Delaware at Florida International

Final

Delaware 38 · Florida International 16

Conference gameUpset
Spread
Florida International −4.0
Florida International -4.0
3 books
Total
54.5
3 books
Moneyline
+160 / −190
Florida International 63% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.5 (-4.5 -4.0, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (54.5 54.5, 2 books)
Result

Delaware covered · by 26.0 · 54 points — under

Arkansas State at Kennesaw State

Final

Arkansas State 21 · Kennesaw State 28

Upset
Spread
Arkansas State −4.5
Kennesaw State +4.5
3 books
Total
58.0
3 books
Moneyline
−195 / +165
Kennesaw State 36% to win
3 books
Spread moved -2.5 (7.0 4.5, 3 books)
Total moved +3.5 (54.5 58.0, 2 books)
Result

Kennesaw State covered · by 11.5 · 49 points — under

UTSA at Colorado State

Final

UTSA 17 · Colorado State 16

Spread
UTSA −5.0
Colorado State +5.0
3 books
Total
58.5
3 books
Moneyline
−215 / +180
Colorado State 34% to win
3 books
Spread moved +1.0 (4.0 5.0, 3 books)
Total moved +0.5 (58.0 58.5, 2 books)
Result

Colorado State covered · by 4.0 · 33 points — under

UL Monroe at UTEP

Final

UL Monroe 31 · UTEP 25

Upset
Spread
UTEP −5.5
UTEP -5.5
3 books
Total
47.0
3 books
Moneyline
+180 / −218
UTEP 66% to win
3 books
Spread moved -1.0 (-4.5 -5.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (46.5 46.5, 2 books)
Result

UL Monroe covered · by 11.5 · 56 points — over

Troy at Buffalo

Final

Troy 21 · Buffalo 17

Upset
Spread
Buffalo −5.5
Buffalo -5.5
3 books
Total
43.5
3 books
Moneyline
+185 / −225
Buffalo 66% to win
3 books
Spread moved +1.0 (-6.5 -5.5, 3 books)
Total moved +1.0 (42.5 43.5, 2 books)
Result

Troy covered · by 9.5 · 38 points — under

Auburn at Oklahoma

Final

Auburn 17 · Oklahoma 24

Conference game
Spread
Oklahoma −6.5
Oklahoma -6.5
3 books
Total
47.5
3 books
Moneyline
+200 / −245
Oklahoma 68% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-6.0 -6.5, 3 books)
Total moved -2.0 (49.5 47.5, 2 books)
Result

Oklahoma covered · by 0.5 · 41 points — under

SMU at TCU

Final

SMU 24 · TCU 35

Spread
TCU −6.5
TCU -6.5
3 books
Total
63.5
3 books
Moneyline
+195 / −238
TCU 68% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (-6.5 -6.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.5 (63.0 63.5, 2 books)
Result

TCU covered · by 4.5 · 59 points — under

BYU at East Carolina

Final

BYU 34 · East Carolina 13

Spread
BYU −6.5
East Carolina +6.5
3 books
Total
49.5
3 books
Moneyline
−240 / +200
East Carolina 32% to win
3 books
Spread moved -1.0 (7.5 6.5, 3 books)
Total moved +1.0 (48.5 49.5, 2 books)
Result

BYU covered · by 14.5 · 47 points — under

Arkansas at Memphis

Final

Arkansas 31 · Memphis 32

UpsetOn the 7
Spread
Arkansas −7.0
Memphis +7.0
3 books
Total
59.5
3 books
Moneyline
−270 / +220
Memphis 30% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.5 (6.5 7.0, 3 books)
Total moved -3.0 (62.5 59.5, 2 books)
Result

Memphis covered · by 8.0 · 63 points — over

Illinois at Indiana

Final

Illinois 10 · Indiana 63

Conference gameOn the 7
Spread
Indiana −7.0
Indiana -7.0
3 books
Total
51.0
3 books
Moneyline
+215 / −265
Indiana 70% to win
3 books
Spread moved -2.5 (-4.5 -7.0, 3 books)
Total moved -2.0 (52.5 50.5, 2 books)
Result

Indiana covered · by 46.0 · 73 points — over

North Carolina at UCF

Final

North Carolina 9 · UCF 34

On the 7
Spread
UCF −7.0
UCF -7.0
3 books
Total
46.5
3 books
Moneyline
+200 / −245
UCF 68% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-6.5 -7.0, 3 books)
Total moved -4.5 (50.0 45.5, 2 books)
Result

UCF covered · by 18.0 · 43 points — under

James Madison at Liberty

Final

James Madison 31 · Liberty 13

Spread
James Madison −7.5
Liberty +7.5
3 books
Total
46.5
3 books
Moneyline
−320 / +260
Liberty 27% to win
3 books
Spread moved -3.0 (10.5 7.5, 3 books)
Total moved -2.0 (48.5 46.5, 2 books)
Result

James Madison covered · by 10.5 · 44 points — under

Nevada at Western Kentucky

Final

Nevada 16 · Western Kentucky 31

Spread
Western Kentucky −7.5
Western Kentucky -7.5
3 books
Total
54.5
3 books
Moneyline
+260 / −325
Western Kentucky 73% to win
3 books
Spread moved +4.0 (-11.5 -7.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (54.5 54.5, 2 books)
Result

Western Kentucky covered · by 7.5 · 47 points — under

Florida at Miami

Final

Florida 7 · Miami 26

Spread
Miami −8.5
Miami -8.5
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
+260 / −320
Miami 73% to win
3 books
Spread moved -5.0 (-3.5 -8.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.5 (52.5 51.0, 2 books)
Result

Miami covered · by 10.5 · 33 points — under

South Carolina at Missouri

Final

South Carolina 20 · Missouri 29

Conference gameOn the 10
Spread
Missouri −10.0
Missouri -10.0
3 books
Total
48.5
3 books
Moneyline
+280 / −360
Missouri 75% to win
3 books
Spread moved +1.5 (-11.5 -10.0, 3 books)
Total moved +3.0 (45.5 48.5, 2 books)
Result

South Carolina covered · by 1.0 · 49 points — over

Tulsa at Oklahoma State

Final

Tulsa 19 · Oklahoma State 12

UpsetOn the 10
Spread
Oklahoma State −10.0
Oklahoma State -10.0
3 books
Total
54.5
3 books
Moneyline
+320 / −425
Oklahoma State 77% to win
3 books
Spread moved +3.5 (-13.5 -10.0, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (55.5 54.5, 2 books)
Result

Tulsa covered · by 17.0 · 31 points — under

Maryland at Wisconsin

Final

Maryland 27 · Wisconsin 10

Conference gameUpset
Spread
Wisconsin −10.5
Wisconsin -10.5
3 books
Total
44.5
3 books
Moneyline
+300 / −400
Wisconsin 76% to win
3 books
Spread moved -3.5 (-7.0 -10.5, 3 books)
Total moved +1.0 (43.5 44.5, 2 books)
Result

Maryland covered · by 27.5 · 37 points — under

Duquesne at Akron

Final

Duquesne 7 · Akron 51

Spread
Akron −10.5
Akron -10.5
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
+330 / −425
Akron 78% to win
3 books
Spread moved -1.5 (-9.0 -10.5, 2 books)
Total moved -0.5 (51.5 51.0, 2 books)
Result

Akron covered · by 33.5 · 58 points — over

Boise State at Air Force

Final

Boise State 49 · Air Force 37

Conference game
Spread
Boise State −11.0
Air Force +11.0
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
−380 / +300
Air Force 24% to win
3 books
Spread moved +2.5 (8.5 11.0, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (51.5 51.5, 2 books)
Result

Boise State covered · by 1.0 · 86 points — over

Tulane at Ole Miss

Final

Tulane 10 · Ole Miss 45

Spread
Ole Miss −12.5
Ole Miss -12.5
3 books
Total
61.5
3 books
Moneyline
+345 / −470
Ole Miss 79% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (-12.5 -12.5, 3 books)
Total moved +1.0 (60.5 61.5, 2 books)
Result

Ole Miss covered · by 22.5 · 55 points — under

Wyoming at Colorado

Final

Wyoming 20 · Colorado 37

Spread
Colorado −12.5
Colorado -12.5
3 books
Total
45.5
3 books
Moneyline
+360 / −470
Colorado 79% to win
3 books
Spread moved +1.0 (-13.5 -12.5, 3 books)
Total moved +2.0 (43.5 45.5, 2 books)
Result

Colorado covered · by 4.5 · 57 points — over

West Virginia at Kansas

Final

West Virginia 10 · Kansas 41

Conference game
Spread
Kansas −12.5
Kansas -12.5
3 books
Total
54.5
3 books
Moneyline
+350 / −460
Kansas 79% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (-12.5 -12.5, 3 books)
Total moved -0.5 (54.5 54.0, 2 books)
Result

Kansas covered · by 18.5 · 51 points — under

Toledo at Western Michigan

Final

Toledo 13 · Western Michigan 14

Conference gameUpset
Spread
Toledo −13.0
Western Michigan +13.0
3 books
Total
48.5
3 books
Moneyline
−550 / +380
Western Michigan 20% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (13.0 13.0, 3 books)
Total moved -3.0 (51.5 48.5, 2 books)
Result

Western Michigan covered · by 14.0 · 27 points — under

California at San Diego State

Final

California 0 · San Diego State 34

UpsetOn the 14
Spread
California −14.0
San Diego State +14.0
3 books
Total
47.0
3 books
Moneyline
−575 / +425
San Diego State 18% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.5 (13.5 14.0, 3 books)
Total moved -3.0 (48.5 45.5, 2 books)
Result

San Diego State covered · by 48.0 · 34 points — under

Idaho at San José State

Final

Idaho 28 · San José State 31

On the 14
Spread
San José State −14.0
San José State -14.0
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
+450 / −675
San José State 83% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (-14.5 -14.5, 2 books)
Total moved +1.0 (50.5 51.5, 2 books)
Result

Idaho covered · by 11.0 · 59 points — over

UT Martin at Missouri State

Final

UT Martin 10 · Missouri State 42

Spread
Missouri State −14.5
Missouri State -14.5
3 books
Total
55.5
3 books
Moneyline
+440 / −575
Missouri State 82% to win
2 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-14.0 -14.5, 2 books)
Total moved +2.0 (52.5 54.5, 2 books)
Result

Missouri State covered · by 17.5 · 52 points — under

Coastal Carolina at South Alabama

Final

Coastal Carolina 38 · South Alabama 20

Conference gameUpset
Spread
South Alabama −14.5
South Alabama -14.5
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
+450 / −675
South Alabama 83% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (-14.5 -14.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (51.5 51.5, 2 books)
Result

Coastal Carolina covered · by 32.5 · 58 points — over

Stanford at Virginia

Final

Stanford 20 · Virginia 48

Conference game
Spread
Virginia −16.5
Virginia -16.5
3 books
Total
48.5
3 books
Moneyline
+525 / −800
Virginia 85% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-16.0 -16.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (48.5 48.5, 2 books)
Result

Virginia covered · by 11.5 · 68 points — over

Syracuse at Clemson

Final

Syracuse 34 · Clemson 21

Conference gameUpset
Spread
Clemson −17.5
Clemson -17.5
3 books
Total
53.5
3 books
Moneyline
+550 / −850
Clemson 85% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-17.0 -17.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (54.5 53.5, 2 books)
Result

Syracuse covered · by 30.5 · 55 points — over

Michigan State at USC

Final

Michigan State 31 · USC 45

Conference game
Spread
USC −18.5
USC -18.5
3 books
Total
55.5
3 books
Moneyline
+600 / −950
USC 86% to win
3 books
Spread moved -3.0 (-15.5 -18.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (55.5 55.5, 2 books)
Result

Michigan State covered · by 4.5 · 76 points — over

Washington at Washington State

Final

Washington 59 · Washington State 24

Spread
Washington −21.0
Washington State +21.0
3 books
Total
52.0
3 books
Moneyline
−1600 / +900
Washington State 10% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.5 (20.5 21.0, 3 books)
Total moved -1.5 (53.5 52.0, 2 books)
Result

Washington covered · by 14.0 · 83 points — over

Ball State at UConn

Final

Ball State 25 · UConn 31

Spread
UConn −21.0
UConn -21.0
3 books
Total
53.5
3 books
Moneyline
+900 / −1800
UConn 90% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-20.5 -21.0, 3 books)
Total moved +1.0 (52.5 53.5, 2 books)
Result

Ball State covered · by 15.0 · 56 points — over

Maine at Georgia Southern

Final

Maine 17 · Georgia Southern 45

Spread
Georgia Southern −22.0
Georgia Southern -22.0
3 books
Total
57.5
3 books
Moneyline
+1100 / −2100
Georgia Southern 92% to win
3 books
Spread moved +2.0 (-24.0 -22.0, 2 books)
Total moved +2.0 (55.5 57.5, 2 books)
Result

Georgia Southern covered · by 6.0 · 62 points — over

McNeese at Utah State

Final

McNeese 7 · Utah State 48

Spread
Utah State −23.5
Utah State -23.5
3 books
Total
63.0
3 books
Moneyline
+1100 / −2500
Utah State 92% to win
3 books
Spread moved +0.0 (-23.5 -23.5, 2 books)
Total moved +1.0 (61.5 62.5, 2 books)
Result

Utah State covered · by 17.5 · 55 points — under

Northern Illinois at Mississippi State

Final

Northern Illinois 10 · Mississippi State 38

Spread
Mississippi State −24.0
Mississippi State -24.0
3 books
Total
48.5
3 books
Moneyline
+1100 / −2400
Mississippi State 92% to win
3 books
Spread moved -2.0 (-22.0 -24.0, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (49.0 48.0, 2 books)
Result

Mississippi State covered · by 4.0 · 48 points — under

Purdue at Notre Dame

Final

Purdue 30 · Notre Dame 56

Spread
Notre Dame −24.5
Notre Dame -24.5
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
+1200 / −3000
Notre Dame 93% to win
3 books
Spread moved +2.5 (-27.0 -24.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (52.5 51.5, 2 books)
Result

Notre Dame covered · by 1.5 · 86 points — over

Temple at Georgia Tech

Final

Temple 24 · Georgia Tech 45

Spread
Georgia Tech −24.5
Georgia Tech -24.5
3 books
Total
52.5
3 books
Moneyline
+1200 / −2500
Georgia Tech 93% to win
3 books
Spread moved -0.5 (-24.0 -24.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.0 (53.5 52.5, 2 books)
Result

Temple covered · by 3.5 · 69 points — over

Bowling Green at Louisville

Final

Bowling Green 17 · Louisville 40

Spread
Louisville −26.5
Louisville -26.5
3 books
Total
50.5
3 books
Moneyline
+1500 / −5000
Louisville 94% to win
3 books
Spread moved +1.0 (-27.5 -26.5, 3 books)
Total moved -1.5 (52.0 50.5, 2 books)
Result

Bowling Green covered · by 3.5 · 57 points — over

Georgia State at Vanderbilt

Final

Georgia State 21 · Vanderbilt 70

Spread
Vanderbilt −27.5
Vanderbilt -27.5
3 books
Total
53.5
3 books
Moneyline
+1500 / −5000
Vanderbilt 94% to win
3 books
Spread moved -1.0 (-26.5 -27.5, 3 books)
Total moved -0.5 (53.0 52.5, 2 books)
Result

Vanderbilt covered · by 21.5 · 91 points — over

Wagner at Central Michigan

Final

Wagner 10 · Central Michigan 49

Spread
Central Michigan −29.5
Central Michigan -29.5
3 books
Total
46.5
3 books
Moneyline
+2500 / −9000
Central Michigan 96% to win
2 books
Spread moved -1.0 (-29.5 -30.5, 2 books)
Total moved +1.0 (45.5 46.5, 2 books)
Result

Central Michigan covered · by 9.5 · 59 points — over

Gardner-Webb at Ohio

Final

Gardner-Webb 35 · Ohio 52

Spread
Ohio −30.5
Ohio -30.5
3 books
Total
55.0
3 books
Moneyline
+2500 / −6500
Ohio 96% to win
2 books
Spread moved -2.5 (-28.0 -30.5, 2 books)
Total moved +3.0 (51.5 54.5, 2 books)
Result

Gardner-Webb covered · by 13.5 · 87 points — over

Nicholls at Texas State

Final

Nicholls 3 · Texas State 35

Spread
Texas State −32.5
Texas State -32.5
3 books
Total
57.0
3 books
Moneyline
+3000 / −9000
Texas State 97% to win
2 books
Spread moved -3.0 (-29.5 -32.5, 2 books)
Total moved +2.0 (54.5 56.5, 2 books)
Result

Nicholls covered · by 0.5 · 38 points — under

Oregon State at Oregon

Final

Oregon State 7 · Oregon 41

Spread
Oregon −34.0
Oregon -34.0
3 books
Total
58.5
3 books
Moneyline
Spread moved +0.5 (-34.5 -34.0, 3 books)
Total moved +1.5 (56.5 58.0, 2 books)
Result

Push · 48 points — under

Wofford at Virginia Tech

Final

Wofford 6 · Virginia Tech 38

Spread
Virginia Tech −35.5
Virginia Tech -35.5
2 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
Spread moved +0.0 (-35.5 -35.5, 2 books)
Total moved +3.0 (48.5 51.5, 2 books)
Result

Wofford covered · by 3.5 · 44 points — under

Murray State at Jacksonville State

Final

Murray State 10 · Jacksonville State 45

Spread
Jacksonville State −35.5
Jacksonville State -35.5
3 books
Total
60.5
3 books
Moneyline
Spread moved +0.0 (-35.5 -35.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (60.5 60.5, 2 books)
Result

Murray State covered · by 0.5 · 55 points — under

South Carolina State at South Florida

Final

South Carolina State 14 · South Florida 63

Spread
South Florida −36.0
South Florida -36.0
3 books
Total
58.5
3 books
Moneyline
+3500 / −20001
South Florida 97% to win
1 book
Spread moved -2.5 (-33.5 -36.0, 2 books)
Total moved +0.5 (56.0 56.5, 2 books)
Result

South Florida covered · by 13.0 · 77 points — over

UAB at Tennessee

Final

UAB 24 · Tennessee 56

Spread
Tennessee −39.0
Tennessee -39.0
3 books
Total
68.5
3 books
Moneyline
Spread moved -1.0 (-38.0 -39.0, 3 books)
Total moved +1.5 (67.0 68.5, 2 books)
Result

UAB covered · by 7.0 · 80 points — over

Sam Houston at Texas

Final

Sam Houston 0 · Texas 55

Spread
Texas −39.5
Texas -39.5
3 books
Total
51.5
3 books
Moneyline
Spread moved +2.0 (-41.5 -39.5, 3 books)
Total moved +0.0 (51.5 51.5, 2 books)
Result

Texas covered · by 15.5 · 55 points — over

Kent State at Florida State

Final

Kent State 10 · Florida State 66

Spread
Florida State −45.0
Florida State -45.0
3 books
Total
56.5
3 books
Moneyline
Spread moved -1.5 (-43.5 -45.0, 3 books)
Total moved +0.5 (55.5 56.0, 2 books)
Result

Florida State covered · by 11.0 · 76 points — over

SE Louisiana at LSU

Final

SE Louisiana 10 · LSU 56

Spread
LSU −49.0
LSU -49.0
2 books
Total
60.0
2 books
Moneyline
Total moved +8.5 (51.5 60.0, 2 books)
Result

SE Louisiana covered · by 3.0 · 66 points — over

Biggest upsets

  • Syracuse beat Clemson15% to win
  • Coastal Carolina beat South Alabama17% to win
  • San Diego State beat California18% to win
  • Western Michigan beat Toledo20% to win
  • Tulsa beat Oklahoma State23% to win

Coverage

62 games in this week's window · 62 with a spread · 62 with a total · 55 with a moneyline · 0 with no line at all.

Methodology

This board describes what the market posted and what happened. It is not betting advice and no line here is actionable — the prices are historical closing numbers, not quotes.

  • The consensus line is the MEDIAN across every book that posted that market, not a single book's number and not an average — a median is unmoved by one outlier book. It is a DISCRETE median, so the number shown is always one a book actually posted; an interpolating median would print prices like -2.75 that nobody offered and that make an exact push impossible. The number of books behind each market is published with it; some games rest on one book.
  • Spreads are shown from the home team's perspective in book convention: NEGATIVE means the home team is favored. Each game also carries an explicit favorite so nothing depends on the sign.
  • Moneylines are aggregated as implied probabilities and converted back to a price. Medianing American odds directly is not monotone across the -100/+100 boundary. The two sides' implied probabilities sum to more than 1; that excess is the book's hold, which is published and removed to get the win probabilities shown.
  • Line movement is measured only over the books that posted BOTH an opening and a closing number, with the open and close both medianed over that same set — so the opening plus the movement always equals the closing number shown in that block. That block's close can differ slightly from the headline consensus, which is medianed over every book including the majority that never posted an opening. Openings are sparse, so movement is published only when at least 2 books reported one, which in practice means 2024 onward.
  • Against-the-spread grading uses the consensus closing line. A game landing exactly on the number is a push and is counted separately, never as a win or a loss.
  • The model line is this site's own SRS rating, fit on games through the END OF THE PRIOR WEEK — it never sees the result it is being compared against. Only FBS-vs-FBS games get a model column: an FCS opponent, or a team under the four-game minimum, gets none rather than a guessed one. The two error figures are averaged over exactly the same games, which is what makes them comparable.
  • A single week is roughly fifty games. Any weekly record here — the market's, the model's, home teams', favorites' — carries a standard error near seven percentage points and should be read as description, not as evidence that anything predicts anything.
  • Line coverage is uneven: nearly all FBS-involving games in recent seasons carry a line, older seasons fewer, and games below the FCS level none at all. The coverage block reports what was available.

FACT (posted lines, final scores), DERIVED (consensus, grading, model line, records)

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