Manny Machado vs Sonny Gray

The Almanac's Take

Machado is right-handed against a right-handed Gray, so no platoon edge here, and his season line — .201/.297/.707 OPS across 397 PA — doesn't suggest a man running hot. Gray's 2.48 ERA and 3.21 K/BB over 101.2 innings makes him legitimately hard to square up right now. The H2H is 33 PA, barely enough to lean on, but Machado does show a .312 average with 3 home runs and a 92.5 mph average exit velocity against him, which at least confirms he can get to Gray's sinker-heavy mix (44.5% usage) when he's locked in. File the career numbers as a footnote, not a reason to back Machado against one of the sharper arms in the league this season.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.312

10-for-32

PA

33

HR

3

K

4

BB

1

Pitches seen

119

Avg exit velo

92.5 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-03Field Out · Sweeper 85.1 mph · 70.0 mph EV
• 2026-04-03Strikeout · Sinker 93.7 mph
• 2026-04-03Field Out · Sweeper 85.2 mph · 76.3 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Field Out · Sinker 93.5 mph · 88.1 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Home Run · Sinker 93.5 mph · 107.3 mph EV
• 2025-07-24Strikeout · Slider 85.5 mph
• 2024-08-29Field Out · Sinker 91.9 mph · 106.9 mph EV
• 2024-08-29Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 91.0 mph · 99.9 mph EV
• 2022-07-30Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph · 107.0 mph EV
• 2022-07-30Home Run · Sinker 92.2 mph · 108.3 mph EV
• 2022-07-30Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 94.2 mph
• 2019-08-20Single · Sweeper 82.8 mph · 68.0 mph EV
• 2019-08-20Field Out · Sweeper 82.6 mph · 73.5 mph EV
• 2019-08-20Single · Sinker 93.4 mph · 110.3 mph EV
• 2018-07-11Double · Curveball 83.5 mph · 104.7 mph EV
• 2018-07-11Field Out · Sinker 94.8 mph · 96.7 mph EV
• 2018-07-11Field Out · Curveball 83.2 mph · 65.3 mph EV
• 2018-06-01Single · 4-Seam Fastball 91.8 mph · 85.2 mph EV
• 2018-06-01Field Out · Sweeper 85.0 mph · 78.4 mph EV
• 2018-06-01Home Run · Sinker 93.2 mph · 106.1 mph EV
• 2018-04-07Strikeout · Slider 85.2 mph
• 2018-04-07Double · Curveball 81.6 mph · 84.0 mph EV
• 2018-04-07Field Out · Sinker 93.4 mph · 82.9 mph EV
• 2017-09-17Field Out · Sinker 91.8 mph · 75.2 mph EV
• 2017-09-17Single · 4-Seam Fastball 93.9 mph · 109.1 mph EV
• 2017-09-17Field Out · Slider 84.2 mph · 103.4 mph EV
• 2017-09-07Force Out · Slider 85.3 mph · 100.9 mph EV
• 2017-09-07Field Out · Sinker 94.3 mph · 90.5 mph EV
• 2017-09-07Grounded Into Double Play · Slider 84.6 mph · 96.6 mph EV
• 2015-08-17Walk · Sinker 93.2 mph
• 2015-08-17Single · Sinker 92.6 mph · 97.7 mph EV
• 2015-08-17Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 93.1 mph · 108.5 mph EV
• 2015-08-17Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph · 89.5 mph EV