MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 16, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 3 starters · Updated Jul 12, 11:24 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Thin three-game slate today, all projections at medium confidence, so treat everything here with appropriate skepticism. Roupp is the clearest arm on the board — 6.2 projected Ks over 6.2 projected innings against Cincinnati, and the matchup grades out as the best of the three. Burns draws the opposite read: a 2.54 season ERA suggests real ability, but the matchup grades unfavorable and the projection only gets him to 5.1 innings with 5.3 Ks. Bubic is similar length (5.1 projected IP) against Detroit with an unfavorable tag, making Roupp the lone starter here with both the matchup quality and projected workload working in his direction.

#1Landen Roupp(RHP)

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park · Final

GS
18
IP
97.0
W-L
6-8
ERA
4.27
WHIP
1.31
K/9
9.60
BB/9
3.90
K/BB
2.48

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.2
ER
2.1
H
5.3
HR
0.20
BB
2.0
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
17.6
Floor
3.6
Ceiling
31.6
Rest
6d
  • low sample

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Landen Roupp.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-106.05124093W
2026-04-044.77517095L
2026-03-306.02027088W

#2Kris Bubic(LHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Final

GS
9
IP
50.3
W-L
3-2
ERA
4.11
WHIP
1.23
K/9
9.10
BB/9
4.60
K/BB
1.96

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.1
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
2.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.8
Floor
2.8
Ceiling
24.8
Rest
6d
  • low sample

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Kris Bubic.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-107.020111088W
2026-04-055.04438196L
2026-03-306.02134175W

#3Chase Burns(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants

Great American Ball Park · Final

GS
18
IP
102.7
W-L
11-1
ERA
2.54
WHIP
1.11
K/9
10.30
BB/9
3.20
K/BB
3.19

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.3
ER
2.3
H
4.7
HR
0.30
BB
2.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.3
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.9
Rest
6d
  • low sample

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Chase Burns.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-105.37542292L
2026-04-056.05119187
2026-03-305.01037078W

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