Week 13 · 16 games · November 30, 2025 · Updated Jul 9, 12:04 AM ET
The Almanac's Take
Denver's overtime win in Washington was the game of the week — a 27-26 final with a drama index north of 9, the Broncos coming in as 6.5-point road underdogs and leaving with the upset. Carolina pulled off the other big result, knocking off the Rams 31-28 as a 10-point home underdog. Cincinnati hammered Baltimore 32-14 on the road, an 18-point win that will move standings needles in the AFC North. Dallas beat Kansas City 31-28, and Chicago went into Philadelphia and won 24-15 as a 7-point dog. Favorites had a rough Sunday.
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Final
Green Bay Packers31
Detroit Lions24
UpsetBack-and-forth · 4.0Over 55Ford Field
Detroit Lions win probability
Biggest swings
Q2 · 14:25(14:25) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 13-D.Wicks for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 10:38(10:38) (No Huddle) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 9-C.Watson for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 0:31(:31) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys
Final
Kansas City Chiefs28
Dallas Cowboys31
UpsetBack-and-forth · 4.7Over 59AT&T Stadium
Dallas Cowboys win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 13:21(13:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens to KC 6 for 39 yards (22-T.McDuffie).
Q1 · 13:51(13:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left intended for 3-G.Pickens INTERCEPTED by 35-J.Watson [21-J.Hicks] at KC 49. 35-J.Watson to DAL 37 for 14 yards (87-J.Ferguson).
Q4 · 14:56(14:56) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 4-R.Rice for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
Final
Cincinnati Bengals32
Baltimore Ravens14
UpsetBack-and-forth · 4.3Under 46M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore Ravens win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 3:36(3:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 6 for -9 yards (58-J.Ossai). FUMBLES (58-J.Ossai) [58-J.Ossai], RECOVERED by CIN-52-C.Johnson at BAL 6. 52-C.Johnson to BAL 2 for 4 yards (8-L.Jackson).
Q2 · 0:36(:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 13 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, touched at BAL 15, RECOVERED by CIN-52-C.Johnson at BAL 19.
Q1 · 2:35(2:35) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass incomplete short left to 88-M.Gesicki (14-K.Hamilton).
Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles
Final
Chicago Bears24
Philadelphia Eagles15
UpsetBack-and-forth · 3.9Under 39Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia Eagles win probability
Biggest swings
Q3 · 6:44(6:44) 18-C.Williams pass short left intended for 25-K.Monangai INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hunt at CHI 47. 58-J.Hunt to CHI 36 for 11 yards (18-C.Williams).
Q3 · 4:46(4:46) 1-J.Hurts up the middle to CHI 11 for 1 yard (26-N.Wright). FUMBLES (26-N.Wright), RECOVERED by CHI-26-N.Wright at CHI 13.
Q3 · 8:11(8:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers
Final
Los Angeles Rams28
Carolina Panthers31
UpsetBack-and-forth · 4.8Over 59Bank of America Stadium
Carolina Panthers win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 6:43(6:43) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 4-T.McMillan for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 2:34(2:34) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at CAR 31 for -9 yards (95-D.Brown). FUMBLES (95-D.Brown) [95-D.Brown], RECOVERED by CAR-98-D.Wonnum at CAR 30. 98-D.Wonnum to CAR 49 for 19 yards (15-K.Mumpfield). PENALTY on CAR, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 49.
Q3 · 8:54(8:54) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 18-J.Coker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final
Arizona Cardinals17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers20
Back-and-forth · 3.7Under 37Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 3:47(3:47) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short middle intended for 14-M.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Winfield (35-J.Dean) at TB 9. 31-A.Winfield to TB 14 for 5 yards (20-Z.Knight; 4-G.Dortch).
Q3 · 14:07(14:07) 78-J.Fryar reported in as eligible. 20-Z.Knight up the middle to TB 43 for 2 yards (90-L.Hall). FUMBLES (90-L.Hall), RECOVERED by TB-23-T.Smith at TB 40.
Q4 · 0:55(:55) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short middle to 14-M.Wilson (8-S.Dennis).
Q4 · 1:49(1:49) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 11-M.Pittman [51-W.Anderson].
Q4 · 12:44(12:44) (Shotgun) 12-N.Collins left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 3:00(3:00) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep right to 14-A.Pierce. PENALTY on HOU-2-C.Bullock, Defensive Pass Interference, 32 yards, enforced at HOU 44 - No Play.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Final
Jacksonville Jaguars25
Tennessee Titans3
Competitive · 1.9Under 28Nissan Stadium
Tennessee Titans win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 3:25(3:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 3-J.Meyers to TEN 6 for 50 yards (33-C.Gray).
Q1 · 1:0439-C.Little kicks 52 yards from JAX 35 to TEN 13. 17-C.Dike to TEN 38 for 25 yards (80-Q.Morris). Jacksonville challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 39-C.Little kicks 52 yards from JAX 35 to TEN 13. 17-C.Dike to TEN 38 for 25 yards (80-Q.Morris, 36-L.Allen). FUMBLES (36-L.Allen), RECOVERED by JAX-36-L.Allen at TEN 35.
Q2 · 0:25(:25) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right to 20-T.Pollard [41-J.Hines-Allen].
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns
Final
San Francisco 49ers26
Cleveland Browns8
Competitive · 3.2Under 34FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland Browns win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 10:40(10:40) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 48 yards to SF 18, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 9-S.Moore pushed ob at CLE 16 for 66 yards (86-B.Whiteheart).
Q2 · 0:47(:47) (Shotgun) 12-S.Sanders pass deep left to 44-H.Fannin for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 7:08(7:08) 74-T.Jenkins reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 44-H.Fannin. 44-H.Fannin FUMBLES (Aborted) at CLE 32, RECOVERED by SF-57-L.Gifford at CLE 32.
New Orleans Saints at Miami Dolphins
Final
New Orleans Saints17
Miami Dolphins21
Competitive · 3.4Under 38Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Dolphins win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 1:1739-C.Smyth kicks onside 10 yards from NO 35 to NO 45. RECOVERED by NO-14-D.Vele. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q4 · 0:35(:35) 6-T.Shough up the middle to MIA 36 for no gain (44-C.Robinson).
Q4 · 1:17TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 6-T.Shough pass to 14-D.Vele is intercepted. ATTEMPT FAILS. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 29-M.Fitzpatrick intercepted the try attempt. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
Atlanta Falcons at New York Jets
Final
Atlanta Falcons24
New York Jets27
UpsetInstant classic · 6.2Over 51MetLife Stadium
New York Jets win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 0:05(:05) 6-N.Folk 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
Q4 · 8:52(8:52) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 87-D.Sills for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 9:05(9:05) 2-T.Taylor pass deep left to 15-A.Mitchell for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
Final
Minnesota Vikings0
Seattle Seahawks26
Competitive · 2.2Under 26Lumen Field
Seattle Seahawks win probability
Biggest swings
Q2 · 3:14(3:14) 12-M.Brosmer pass short right INTERCEPTED by 13-E.Jones [0-D.Lawrence] at SEA 15. 13-E.Jones for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 5:26(5:26) 14-S.Darnold sacked at SEA 15 for -7 yards (15-D.Turner). FUMBLES (15-D.Turner) [15-D.Turner], RECOVERED by MIN-61-J.Redmond at SEA 13.
Q2 · 13:24(13:24) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 82-C.White to MIN 33 for 21 yards (44-J.Metellus).
Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers
Final
Buffalo Bills26
Pittsburgh Steelers7
Competitive · 2.7Under 33Acrisure Stadium
Pittsburgh Steelers win probability
Biggest swings
Q3 · 14:54(14:54) (Shotgun) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 8-A.Rodgers sacked at PIT 17 for -9 yards (97-J.Bosa). FUMBLES (97-J.Bosa) [97-J.Bosa], RECOVERED by BUF-47-C.Benford at PIT 17. 47-C.Benford for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PIT-8-A.Rodgers was injured during the play.
Q2 · 10:40(10:40) 4-J.Cook left end to BUF 42 for -3 yards (51-N.Herbig). FUMBLES (51-N.Herbig), touched at BUF 40, RECOVERED by PIT-6-P.Queen at BUF 39.
Q3 · 13:22(13:22) (Shotgun) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 2-M.Rudolph pass deep left intended for 80-D.Washington INTERCEPTED by 47-C.Benford at BUF 44. 47-C.Benford ran ob at BUF 44 for no gain.
Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers
Final
Las Vegas Raiders14
Los Angeles Chargers31
Competitive · 2.3Over 45SoFi Stadium
Los Angeles Chargers win probability
Biggest swings
Q3 · 14:13(14:13) (Shotgun) 30-K.Vidal left end for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 1:54(1:54) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 89-B.Bowers for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 8:39(8:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left intended for 15-L.McConkey INTERCEPTED by 36-K.Kelly at LV 2. 36-K.Kelly ran ob at LV 2 for no gain.
Denver Broncos at Washington Commanders
Final (OT)
Denver Broncos27
Washington Commanders26
Instant classic · 9.2Over 53FedExField
Washington Commanders win probability
Biggest swings
OT · 2:47TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-M.Mariota pass to 26-J.McNichols is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
OT · 3:58(3:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep right to 1-D.Samuel to DEN 2 for 38 yards (21-R.Moss).
OT · 5:29(5:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right intended for 26-J.McNichols INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones (9-T.Hufanga) [98-J.Franklin-Myers] at DEN 37. 22-B.Jones to DEN 36 for -1 yards (63-T.Biadasz). PENALTY on DEN-9-T.Hufanga, Defensive Pass Interference, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 41 - No Play.
New York Giants at New England Patriots
Final
New York Giants15
New England Patriots33
Competitive · 1.7Over 48Gillette Stadium
New England Patriots win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 5:37(5:37) 12-J.Gillan punts 54 yards to NE 6, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 25-M.Jones for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 6:28(6:28) (Field Goal formation) 12-J.Gillan right end to NE 42 for -13 yards (98-J.Pharms).
Q2 · 12:55(12:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short left to 18-D.Slayton for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Methodology
Final scores, box-score leaders, and the schedule are facts from nflverse. Win probability and the drama index (the sum of the win-probability swings across a game) are nflfastR-modeled — derived estimates, not raw facts; the win-probability line is the home team's, already team-relative. Standings are regular-season records to date, with win percentage counting a tie as half a win. Each game's recap is written from that deterministic data — the model turns the numbers into prose, it never computes them.