Week 8 · 13 games · October 26, 2025 · Updated Jul 9, 12:05 AM ET
The Almanac's Take
NYJ walking out of Cincinnati 39-38 — as a 5.5-point road underdog — is the story of the week, 77 combined points making it the highest-scoring game on the slate. New England covering a 7-point home number against Cleveland and NE winning 32-13 is quietly the more surprising result given where both franchises sit right now. GB went into Pittsburgh favored by 3 and won by 10, while Denver hung 44 on Dallas at home. Favorites mostly held chalk elsewhere — KC, PHI, BUF all handled business without much resistance, and the slate ran hot overall with overs cashing in the majority of games.
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers
Final
Minnesota Vikings10
Los Angeles Chargers37
Wire-to-wire · 1.4Over 47SoFi Stadium
Los Angeles Chargers win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 4:05(4:05) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 86-O.Gadsden for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [58-J.Greenard]. PENALTY on LAC-86-O.Gadsden, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q1 · 14:03(14:03) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson to MIN 32 for 16 yards (24-B.St-Juste) [0-D.Henley].
Q1 · 10:53(10:53) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 13-K.Allen to LAC 31 for 17 yards (22-H.Smith).
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals
Final
New York Jets39
Cincinnati Bengals38
UpsetCompetitive · 3.4Over 77Paycor Stadium
Cincinnati Bengals win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 0:32(:32) (Shotgun) 16-J.Flacco pass incomplete short middle to 80-A.Iosivas (29-J.Brownlee).
Q4 · 0:42(:42) (Shotgun) 34-S.Perine left guard to CIN 45 for 1 yard (9-W.McDonald; 95-Q.Williams).
Q1 · 8:20(8:20) 20-B.Hall right end to NYJ 35 for -2 yards (49-B.Carter).
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens
Final
Chicago Bears16
Baltimore Ravens30
Competitive · 3.5Over 46M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore Ravens win probability
Biggest swings
Q4 · 9:08(9:08) 18-C.Williams pass short right intended for 15-R.Odunze INTERCEPTED by 2-N.Wiggins at CHI 18. 2-N.Wiggins ran ob at CHI 9 for 9 yards (84-C.Loveland).
Q4 · 14:14(14:14) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 4-D.Swift to BAL 5 for 25 yards (44-M.Humphrey). BAL-44-M.Humphrey was injured during the play.
Q1 · 7:32(7:32) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams sacked at BAL 14 for -9 yards (45-M.Green).
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots
Final
Cleveland Browns13
New England Patriots32
Competitive · 2.9Over 45Gillette Stadium
New England Patriots win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 7:19(7:19) (Shotgun) 8-D.Gabriel pass short left to 44-H.Fannin to CLE 48 for 19 yards (15-M.Mapu; 31-C.Woodson).
Q2 · 13:12(13:12) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass short middle intended for 8-S.Diggs INTERCEPTED by 49-C.Schwesinger at NE 41. 49-C.Schwesinger to NE 34 for 7 yards (8-S.Diggs).
Q2 · 8:25(8:25) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye sacked at CLE 14 for -7 yards (95-M.Garrett).
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans
Final
San Francisco 49ers15
Houston Texans26
Competitive · 2.3Under 41NRG Stadium
Houston Texans win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 11:01(11:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 17-B.Berrios to SF 33 for 14 yards (53-D.Winters).
Q2 · 10:18(10:18) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 14-J.Noel pushed ob at SF 23 for 44 yards (6-M.Mustapha).
Q1 · 8:15(8:15) 57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud right guard to SF 23 for 1 yard (48-T.Bethune).
Q3 · 10:31(10:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Robinson left end to MIA 16 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIA-25-T.Dodson at MIA 10. 25-T.Dodson to MIA 16 for 6 yards (70-J.Matthews; 65-M.Bergeron). Penalty on ATL-64-R.Neuzil, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q1 · 0:27(:27) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short left to 25-T.Allgeier to MIA 34 for 4 yards (29-M.Fitzpatrick).
Q2 · 13:42(13:42) (Shotgun) 25-T.Allgeier up the middle to MIA 26 for -1 yards (92-Z.Sieler).
Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers
Final
Buffalo Bills40
Carolina Panthers9
Competitive · 2.3Over 49Bank of America Stadium
Carolina Panthers win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 3:51(3:51) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton scrambles right end to BUF 20 for 1 yard (50-G.Rousseau). FUMBLES (50-G.Rousseau), RECOVERED by BUF-47-C.Benford at BUF 11. 47-C.Benford to BUF 17 for 6 yards (70-B.Christensen; 14-A.Dalton).
Q2 · 1:58(1:58) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left intended for 18-J.Coker INTERCEPTED by 57-A.Epenesa at CAR 25. 57-A.Epenesa to CAR 1 for 24 yards (30-C.Hubbard).
Q2 · 7:35(7:35) 4-J.Cook left guard for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Final
New York Giants20
Philadelphia Eagles38
Competitive · 2.5Over 58Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia Eagles win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 14:53(14:53) 74-F.Johnson reported in as eligible. 26-S.Barkley left tackle for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 0:36(:36) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles up the middle to NYG 41 for 5 yards (24-D.Belton).
Q2 · 15:00(15:00) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 6-D.Smith to NYG 20 for 26 yards (28-C.Flott).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Final
Tampa Bay Buccaneers23
New Orleans Saints3
Competitive · 2.9Under 26Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans Saints win probability
Biggest swings
Q2 · 6:48(6:48) (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler pass short right intended for 87-F.Moreau INTERCEPTED by 98-A.Nelson at NO 3. 98-A.Nelson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NO-71-K.Banks, Illegal Formation, declined.
Q2 · 0:42(:42) (Shotgun) 2-S.Rattler sacked at TB 45 for -8 yards (25-J.Parrish).
Q2 · 7:28(7:28) 44-S.Tucker left guard to NO 1 for no gain (58-C.Rumph; 93-N.Shepherd).
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Final
Tennessee Titans14
Indianapolis Colts38
Competitive · 2.0Over 52Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis Colts win probability
Biggest swings
Q2 · 7:51(7:51) (Shotgun) 17-D.Jones pass deep left to 11-M.Pittman for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TEN-18-J.Armour-Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
Q1 · 8:48(8:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass deep middle to 17-C.Dike to TEN 36 for 21 yards (29-M.Blackmon).
Q2 · 0:06(:06) 6-J.Slye 58 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-3-J.Hekker.
Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos
Final
Dallas Cowboys24
Denver Broncos44
Competitive · 2.2Over 68Empower Field at Mile High
Denver Broncos win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 13:44(13:44) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right intended for 13-P.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Bridges at DAL 41. 25-T.Bridges to DAL 48 for 7 yards (13-P.Bryant). Penalty on DEN-63-A.Palczewski, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.
Q1 · 8:21(8:21) 12-R.Harvey left end for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 3:10(3:10) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep middle to 11-T.Franklin for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Final
Green Bay Packers35
Pittsburgh Steelers25
Competitive · 3.4Over 60Acrisure Stadium
Pittsburgh Steelers win probability
Biggest swings
Q3 · 0:35(:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson to PIT 7 for 33 yards (26-B.Echols). Penalty on PIT-24-J.Porter, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q1 · 11:52(11:52) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 10-R.Wilson ran ob at GB 28 for 45 yards.
Q3 · 12:40(12:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 85-T.Kraft to PIT 26 for 59 yards (22-J.Thornhill; 25-D.Elliott) [6-P.Queen]. PIT-25-D.Elliott was injured during the play.
Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs
Final
Washington Commanders7
Kansas City Chiefs28
Competitive · 2.8Under 35GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City Chiefs win probability
Biggest swings
Q1 · 9:49(9:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left intended for 1-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 51-M.Danna at KC 22. 51-M.Danna to KC 32 for 10 yards (1-D.Samuel).
Q3 · 10:19(10:19) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 29-K.Hunt for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 12:48(12:48) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to WAS 9 for 38 yards (0-M.Sainristil).
Methodology
Final scores, box-score leaders, and the schedule are facts from nflverse. Win probability and the drama index (the sum of the win-probability swings across a game) are nflfastR-modeled — derived estimates, not raw facts; the win-probability line is the home team's, already team-relative. Standings are regular-season records to date, with win percentage counting a tie as half a win. Each game's recap is written from that deterministic data — the model turns the numbers into prose, it never computes them.