College Football Ratings · 2025
College Football Ratings — Week 5
136 FBS teams · 11 conferences · Through September 29, 2025 · Updated Jul 28, 11:22 PM ET
Home field worth 3.5 pts (estimated this season)
Team ratings
| # | Team | Conf | Rec | SRS | SOS | Elo | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2–2 | +23.59 | +9.69 | 2043 | +42.5 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4–0 | +22.63 | +0.25 | 2249 | +19.2 |
| 3 | Oregon | Big Ten | 5–0 | +22.60 | -1.45 | 2137 | +42.6 |
| 4 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5–0 | +19.26 | -2.50 | 2010 | +32.8 |
| 5 | Miami | ACC | 4–0 | +18.78 | +1.29 | 1932 | +0.0 |
| 6 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5–0 | +18.37 | +2.46 | 2058 | +27.3 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 3–1 | +17.28 | +4.71 | 2018 | -66.2 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3–1 | +17.06 | -5.47 | 1978 | -42.6 |
| 9 | Texas | SEC | 3–1 | +16.29 | -3.46 | 2023 | +0.0 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 3–1 | +16.22 | +3.04 | 1869 | +66.2 |
| 11 | USC | Big Ten | 4–1 | +15.68 | -1.49 | 1847 | -22.2 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 4–1 | +15.39 | -0.44 | 1944 | +17.4 |
| 13 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5–0 | +15.37 | -7.19 | 1920 | +11.5 |
| 14 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4–0 | +15.27 | +7.28 | 1853 | +25.7 |
| 15 | BYU | Big 12 | 4–0 | +14.84 | -5.64 | 1932 | +15.4 |
| 16 | Louisville | ACC | 4–0 | +14.21 | -3.41 | 1907 | +17.9 |
| 17 | Oklahoma | SEC | 4–0 | +14.18 | -0.73 | 1891 | +0.0 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 4–1 | +13.82 | +2.71 | 1954 | -27.3 |
| 19 | TCU | Big 12 | 3–1 | +12.98 | -0.21 | 1861 | -24.6 |
| 20 | Utah | Big 12 | 4–1 | +12.20 | -5.82 | 1762 | +85.3 |
| 21 | Missouri | SEC | 5–0 | +12.13 | -7.39 | 1944 | +1.0 |
| 22 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 4–1 | +11.76 | +3.53 | 1922 | +24.6 |
| 23 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4–0 | +11.63 | -13.89 | 1813 | +0.0 |
| 24 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4–1 | +11.47 | +1.38 | 1868 | +22.2 |
| 25 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5–0 | +11.37 | -1.92 | 1937 | +18.9 |
| 26 | Washington | Big Ten | 3–1 | +11.18 | -0.86 | 1863 | -19.2 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3–1 | +11.14 | +1.46 | 1891 | +0.0 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 3–2 | +10.64 | +2.33 | 1719 | -25.7 |
| 29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3–2 | +9.33 | -3.94 | 1821 | -32.8 |
| 30 | South Carolina | SEC | 3–2 | +9.31 | +2.07 | 1800 | +20.1 |
| 31 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3–1 | +8.78 | -5.62 | 1700 | +0.0 |
| 32 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5–0 | +8.75 | -10.97 | 1893 | +7.2 |
| 33 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3–2 | +8.62 | -5.19 | 1754 | -60.1 |
| 34 | SMU | ACC | 2–2 | +8.15 | -3.70 | 1795 | +0.0 |
| 35 | Virginia | ACC | 4–1 | +7.06 | -7.07 | 1695 | +40.5 |
| 36 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 3–1 | +7.01 | -1.91 | 1722 | +17.0 |
| 37 | Arkansas | SEC | 2–3 | +6.96 | +2.43 | 1720 | -42.5 |
| 38 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5–0 | +6.83 | -4.75 | 1812 | +5.9 |
| 39 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3–2 | +6.70 | -2.31 | 1763 | +29.2 |
| 40 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 3–1 | +6.58 | -6.86 | 1755 | +36.4 |
| 41 | Florida | SEC | 1–3 | +6.32 | +2.53 | 1768 | +0.0 |
| 42 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2–3 | +6.31 | +2.37 | 1660 | -15.4 |
| 43 | Houston | Big 12 | 4–0 | +5.96 | -6.89 | 1716 | +10.3 |
| 44 | Boise State | Mountain West | 3–1 | +5.91 | -10.01 | 1785 | +20.6 |
| 44 | North Texas | American Athletic | 5–0 | +5.91 | -7.17 | 1738 | +14.6 |
| 46 | Duke | ACC | 3–2 | +5.88 | +0.24 | 1864 | +137.6 |
| 47 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3–1 | +5.50 | -5.36 | 1663 | +60.1 |
| 48 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4–0 | +5.32 | -10.55 | 1721 | +0.0 |
| 49 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4–1 | +5.04 | -4.65 | 1610 | -17.4 |
| 50 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 2–3 | +4.91 | +2.19 | 1712 | +48.2 |
| 51 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3–1 | +4.33 | +2.66 | 1713 | +0.0 |
| 52 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3–2 | +4.23 | -9.33 | 1583 | +36.5 |
| 53 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4–1 | +4.00 | -0.81 | 1767 | +15.7 |
| 54 | Florida State | ACC | 3–1 | +3.93 | -7.10 | 1612 | -40.5 |
| 55 | Clemson | ACC | 1–3 | +3.42 | +3.23 | 1729 | +0.0 |
| 56 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3–2 | +3.23 | -5.05 | 1667 | +73.3 |
| 57 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3–2 | +3.14 | -5.85 | 1681 | -21.6 |
| 58 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 2–2 | +3.12 | -7.14 | 1577 | -17.9 |
| 59 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3–1 | +2.84 | -7.91 | 1694 | +0.0 |
| 60 | Kentucky | SEC | 2–2 | +2.66 | +3.56 | 1529 | -20.1 |
| 61 | Arizona | Big 12 | 3–1 | +2.59 | -3.87 | 1650 | -18.9 |
| 62 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3–1 | +2.36 | -10.52 | 1768 | +21.6 |
| 63 | UCF | Big 12 | 3–1 | +2.28 | -10.73 | 1605 | -48.2 |
| 64 | Navy | American Athletic | 4–0 | +1.74 | -17.25 | 1797 | +10.8 |
| 65 | NC State | ACC | 3–2 | +1.16 | +2.12 | 1607 | -41.1 |
| 66 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3–2 | +1.13 | -0.46 | 1809 | +17.2 |
| 67 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2–2 | +0.69 | -1.60 | 1551 | +0.0 |
| 68 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 2–3 | +0.59 | +2.43 | 1564 | +41.1 |
| 69 | Syracuse | ACC | 3–2 | +0.45 | -0.74 | 1728 | -137.6 |
| 70 | Army | American Athletic | 1–3 | +0.38 | +3.84 | 1585 | -73.3 |
| 71 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4–0 | -0.02 | -11.60 | 1840 | +0.0 |
| 72 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3–1 | -0.12 | -1.42 | 1608 | +0.0 |
| 73 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4–1 | -0.21 | -8.73 | 1606 | +41.5 |
| 74 | California | ACC | 4–1 | -1.19 | -9.89 | 1647 | +39.3 |
| 75 | UTSA | American Athletic | 2–2 | -2.04 | -1.87 | 1657 | +0.0 |
| 76 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4–1 | -2.11 | -11.33 | 1667 | +0.0 |
| 77 | Boston College | ACC | 1–3 | -2.24 | -10.52 | 1527 | -39.3 |
| 77 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2–2 | -2.24 | +3.42 | 1478 | +0.0 |
| 79 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 2–3 | -2.86 | -7.88 | 1735 | -54.9 |
| 80 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4–1 | -2.92 | -10.82 | 1605 | +55.7 |
| 81 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3–2 | -3.07 | -3.51 | 1568 | -11.5 |
| 82 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3–2 | -3.15 | -11.31 | 1654 | +33.7 |
| 83 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3–1 | -3.62 | -8.95 | 1614 | +30.0 |
| 84 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3–1 | -4.17 | -9.04 | 1601 | +17.7 |
| 85 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2–2 | -4.55 | -3.05 | 1582 | +13.9 |
| 86 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2–3 | -4.65 | -2.05 | 1537 | -17.2 |
| 87 | North Carolina | ACC | 2–2 | -4.84 | -5.98 | 1560 | +0.0 |
| 88 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2–3 | -4.91 | +1.13 | 1528 | +144.1 |
| 89 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3–2 | -5.55 | -1.99 | 1604 | +78.2 |
| 90 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 2–3 | -5.56 | -1.66 | 1544 | -85.3 |
| 91 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1–3 | -5.57 | -5.32 | 1598 | +23.9 |
| 92 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2–2 | -6.15 | -7.31 | 1504 | -5.9 |
| 93 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 2–3 | -6.57 | -12.17 | 1523 | -94.7 |
| 94 | Delaware | Conference USA | 3–1 | -7.19 | -9.51 | 1636 | +0.0 |
| 94 | Missouri State | Conference USA | 2–3 | -7.19 | -0.75 | 1536 | -55.7 |
| 96 | Stanford | ACC | 2–3 | -7.58 | +0.09 | 1476 | +17.6 |
| 97 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -8.20 | -5.35 | 1621 | +0.0 |
| 98 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2–3 | -8.44 | -8.28 | 1568 | +54.9 |
| 99 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1–4 | -8.55 | -3.95 | 1446 | -14.6 |
| 100 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2–2 | -8.60 | -4.92 | 1473 | +0.0 |
| 101 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1–3 | -8.70 | -3.02 | 1476 | -30.0 |
| 102 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 1–3 | -9.30 | -1.92 | 1440 | -29.2 |
| 103 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2–3 | -9.37 | -2.74 | 1562 | -36.4 |
| 104 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4–2 | -9.47 | -9.49 | 1562 | +57.9 |
| 105 | Temple | American Athletic | 2–2 | -9.49 | -7.48 | 1404 | +0.0 |
| 106 | Rice | American Athletic | 3–2 | -9.53 | -9.92 | 1495 | -10.8 |
| 107 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3–1 | -9.73 | -12.57 | 1518 | +46.1 |
| 108 | San José State | Mountain West | 1–3 | -9.76 | -3.78 | 1533 | -17.6 |
| 109 | UCLA | Big Ten | 0–4 | -9.77 | +0.87 | 1413 | -13.9 |
| 110 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2–3 | -9.86 | -14.57 | 1543 | -33.7 |
| 111 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3–2 | -9.98 | -6.19 | 1528 | +94.7 |
| 112 | Liberty | Conference USA | 1–4 | -9.99 | -4.98 | 1453 | -17.0 |
| 113 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 0–5 | -11.64 | +7.38 | 1373 | -10.3 |
| 114 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1–3 | -11.70 | -9.26 | 1414 | -57.9 |
| 115 | UAB | American Athletic | 2–2 | -12.30 | -3.71 | 1447 | +0.0 |
| 116 | Florida International | Conference USA | 2–2 | -12.43 | -8.95 | 1388 | +0.0 |
| 117 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 1–3 | -12.51 | -5.61 | 1439 | -78.2 |
| 118 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3–2 | -12.95 | -9.82 | 1396 | +36.7 |
| 119 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1–4 | -13.06 | -3.71 | 1332 | -41.5 |
| 120 | App State | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -13.18 | -12.37 | 1496 | -20.6 |
| 121 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 2–2 | -13.37 | -6.49 | 1510 | +0.0 |
| 122 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 0–4 | -13.63 | +0.97 | 1453 | +0.0 |
| 123 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 1–4 | -13.99 | -6.21 | 1417 | -46.1 |
| 124 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1–3 | -14.19 | -5.35 | 1300 | +0.0 |
| 125 | Akron | Mid-American | 1–4 | -14.56 | -6.43 | 1361 | -36.5 |
| 126 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1–3 | -15.12 | +2.18 | 1381 | +0.0 |
| 127 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2–3 | -15.19 | -7.92 | 1354 | -15.7 |
| 128 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 3–2 | -15.46 | -10.03 | 1369 | +21.2 |
| 129 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1–3 | -15.94 | -2.18 | 1362 | +0.0 |
| 130 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 1–3 | -16.59 | -8.45 | 1329 | -7.2 |
| 131 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1–4 | -17.67 | -8.54 | 1266 | -36.7 |
| 132 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 2–2 | -20.11 | -11.61 | 1322 | -17.7 |
| 133 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 1–3 | -20.34 | -10.33 | 1338 | +0.0 |
| 134 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 1–4 | -22.39 | -8.34 | 1176 | -21.2 |
| 135 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1–3 | -24.42 | -5.29 | 1146 | +0.0 |
| 136 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 0–4 | -25.01 | -3.73 | 1164 | -1.0 |
Ratings are points relative to an average FBS team on a neutral field, so a difference between two teams is a projected spread. Ranks are re-based to the teams shown and are assigned on the displayed values, so teams with identical published ratings share a rank.
Conference strength
| # | Conference | Teams | Avg SRS | Top 25 | Best team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEC | 16 | +12.20 | 10 | Ole Miss+18.37 |
| — | FBS Independents | 2 | +10.22 | 1 | Notre Dame+23.59 |
| 2 | Big Ten | 18 | +8.00 | 6 | Ohio State+22.63 |
| 3 | Big 12 | 16 | +6.42 | 6 | BYU+14.84 |
| 4 | ACC | 17 | +3.03 | 2 | Miami+18.78 |
| 5 | American Athletic | 14 | -4.08 | 0 | Memphis+8.75 |
| 6 | Mountain West | 12 | -6.11 | 0 | Boise State+5.91 |
| 7 | Sun Belt | 14 | -6.88 | 0 | Old Dominion+7.01 |
| — | Pac-12 | 2 | -8.60 | 0 | Washington State-5.55 |
| 8 | Mid-American | 13 | -10.68 | 0 | Toledo+4.23 |
| 9 | Conference USA | 12 | -10.93 | 0 | Louisiana Tech-0.21 |
Leagues too small for a mean to mean anything are listed with their real numbers but are not ranked — a three-team independents bucket is not a league, and ranking it would say more about who happens to be in it than about its strength.
This week's movers
Risers
- Western MichiganMid-American+144.1
- DukeACC+137.6
- Southern MissSun Belt+94.7
- UtahBig 12+85.3
- Washington StatePac-12+78.2
Fallers
- SyracuseACC-137.6
- Jacksonville StateConference USA-94.7
- West VirginiaBig 12-85.3
- Colorado StateMountain West-78.2
- ArmyAmerican Athletic-73.3
Change in Elo rating over this week's games.
Next week's projected margins
| Game | Projection | Home win % |
|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt at Alabama | Alabama by 4.3 | 61% |
| Boise State at Notre Dame | Notre Dame by 21.1 | 91% |
| Minnesota at Ohio State | Ohio State by 23.7 | 93% |
| Miami at Florida State | Miami by 11.4 | 24% |
| Texas at Florida | Texas by 6.5 | 34% |
| Virginia at Louisville | Louisville by 10.6 | 75% |
| Mississippi State at Texas A&M | Texas A&M by 13.7 | 80% |
| Kentucky at Georgia | Georgia by 18.1 | 87% |
| Colorado at TCU | TCU by 10.1 | 74% |
| Texas Tech at Houston | Texas Tech by 2.2 | 45% |
| Iowa State at Cincinnati | Iowa State by 2.4 | 44% |
| Washington at Maryland | Washington by 2.4 | 44% |
| Wisconsin at Michigan | Michigan by 13.9 | 81% |
| Kansas State at Baylor | Baylor by 5.2 | 63% |
| Kansas at UCF | Kansas by 2.9 | 43% |
| West Virginia at BYU | BYU by 23.9 | 93% |
| Illinois at Purdue | Illinois by 10.3 | 26% |
| Michigan State at Nebraska | Nebraska by 12.3 | 78% |
| Syracuse at SMU | SMU by 11.2 | 76% |
| Penn State at UCLA | Penn State by 23.4 | 7% |
| Duke at California | Duke by 3.6 | 41% |
| Boston College at Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh by 8.8 | 71% |
| Clemson at North Carolina | Clemson by 4.8 | 38% |
| Wake Forest at Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech by 10.2 | 74% |
| Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion | Old Dominion by 23.8 | 93% |
These ratings already include this week's results, so they project next week's games — projecting this week's with them would be reporting the past as a forecast. Games where either side is unrated are omitted rather than projected off a missing rating. Context, not betting advice.
Methodology
- These ratings are computed here from final scores — they are not a republished third-party rating. Nothing on this page comes from a subscription or permission-gated system.
- SRS is a ridge-regularized least-squares fit: each team's rating is chosen so that (home rating - away rating + home-field) best predicts the margin of every game played. It is a whole-season simultaneous solve, so a late upset re-weighs the entire season.
- Elo walks the games in date order and updates after each one, with diminishing credit for blowouts. It reacts to a team improving mid-season in a way a season-long average cannot, and it carries a regressed rating in from last season.
- Ratings are points relative to an average FBS team on a neutral field, so a difference between two teams is a projected spread.
- Home-field advantage is ESTIMATED from the season's own games rather than assumed. Measured home margin has ranged from about 2 points (2020, no crowds) to nearly 8 by season, so a fixed constant would be wrong in both directions.
- Strength of schedule is the average rating of the opponents a team actually played. Teams below Division I are pooled into a single opponent, so scheduling one cannot inflate a schedule rating.
- Blowouts are capped before they enter the fit, so a 63-0 win counts as a decisive win rather than four times a 17-0 win.
- Teams with fewer than four completed games are not rated: with a shorter schedule the rating reflects the prior more than the season.
- Validated walk-forward on 3,867 held-out games (2018-2025), fitting only on games played before each week: SRS predicted game margin to 12.7 points mean absolute error, against 13.5 for the same model with the schedule adjustment removed and 16.1 for assuming the home team wins.
What these numbers can't tell you
- These ratings see final scores only — no injuries, no weather, no personnel changes, no market information. A team missing its starting quarterback is rated exactly as if it were not.
- The consensus betting market predicted the same held-out games better (12.1 vs 12.7 mean absolute error). Projected margins here are context, not betting advice, and should not be read as an edge.
- Early-season ratings are unstable by construction. Through the first month a rating rests on three or four results and will move sharply; treat November's ratings as far more settled than September's.
- FCS teams are rated internally because FBS teams play them, but are not listed. A rating is only comparable within the population it was anchored on.
FACT (final scores, schedule, site, conference affiliation), DERIVED (SRS, Elo, strength of schedule, projected margins)
Fitted constants
- margin_cap
- 35
- ridge
- 0.25
- prior_weight
- 2
- elo_k
- 46
- elo_hfa
- 60
- elo_carry
- 0.87
- elo_epoch_season
- 2002
- min_games_to_rank
- 4
More for this week