Tyler Stephenson vs Michael Lorenzen

The Almanac's Take

Lorenzen's season line is ugly enough to stand on its own — a 7.54 ERA, 1.89 WHIP, and 11 home runs allowed in 65.2 innings. No platoon edge here since both guys throw and bat right, so the read leans on Lorenzen simply being bad rather than any handedness mismatch. Stephenson is hitting just .205 with a 26.1 K% this season, which tempers things considerably. The 11-PA head-to-head (.455, 98.1 mph average exit velo) is way too thin to weigh seriously — five hits off one pitcher tells you almost nothing. The real story is Lorenzen's vulnerability, not Stephenson's ceiling.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.455

5-for-11

PA

11

HR

1

K

1

BB

0

Pitches seen

33

Avg exit velo

98.1 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-30Field Out · Sweeper 80.2 mph · 97.1 mph EV
• 2026-04-30Field Out · Slider 87.0 mph · 101.1 mph EV
• 2025-05-26Home Run · Sinker 90.4 mph · 104.9 mph EV
• 2025-05-26Single · Slider 84.7 mph · 105.4 mph EV
• 2025-05-26Single · 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph · 102.7 mph EV
• 2024-08-16Double · Sinker 92.7 mph · 101.8 mph EV
• 2024-08-16Field Out · Sinker 93.2 mph · 83.1 mph EV
• 2024-08-16Strikeout · Sinker 94.9 mph
• 2024-04-27Hit By Pitch · Sinker 91.2 mph
• 2024-04-27Field Out · Sinker 93.4 mph · 82.7 mph EV
• 2024-04-27Single · Sinker 94.3 mph · 104.3 mph EV