Randy Arozarena vs Gavin Williams

The Almanac's Take

Arozarena (.280/.348/.783 OPS in 256 PA) runs into a same-handed matchup here, so there's no platoon edge to lean on. Williams has been genuinely good this season — 3.20 ERA, 10.4 K/9, 1.07 WHIP across 81.2 innings — and the 3.76 K/BB ratio says the control is real, not just a strand-rate mirage. The 11 home runs allowed are the one crack in the wall, and Arozarena's .435 slug suggests he can punish mistakes when he gets them. The head-to-head is 11 PA, so treat the 2-for-8 line as wallpaper — the season read is what matters, and it favors Williams.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.250

2-for-8

PA

11

HR

0

K

1

BB

3

Pitches seen

48

Avg exit velo

87.8 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-03-27Walk · Cutter 92.0 mph
• 2026-03-27Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph
• 2025-08-30Field Out · Curveball 82.7 mph · 100.0 mph EV
• 2025-08-30Single · Sinker 95.4 mph · 79.8 mph EV
• 2025-08-30Double · Sweeper 84.5 mph · 96.1 mph EV
• 2025-06-13Field Out · Cutter 91.5 mph · 44.5 mph EV
• 2025-06-13Walk · Cutter 92.6 mph
• 2024-07-13Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph · 91.7 mph EV
• 2024-07-13Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.0 mph · 102.5 mph EV
• 2023-08-12Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.1 mph
• 2023-08-12Grounded Into Double Play · Slider 86.1 mph · 99.9 mph EV