Otto Lopez vs Kyle Freeland

The Almanac's Take

Lopez is the right-handed read against a left-hander, and the season numbers back it up — .336/.363/.833 across 295 PA with 13 steals and a 15.6% strikeout rate that signals real contact quality. Freeland is the other side of that coin: a 7.98 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, and 14 home runs surrendered in under 59 innings is a genuinely rough line, not a small-sample blip across 13 starts. The 11 PA of head-to-head history is too thin to mean anything — one hit, two walks, a 94.7 mph average exit velocity — file it and move on. The season read is the play here.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.111

1-for-9

PA

11

HR

0

K

1

BB

2

Pitches seen

42

Avg exit velo

94.7 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-03-27Field Out · Cutter 86.8 mph · 96.1 mph EV
• 2026-03-27Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph
• 2025-09-16Field Error · Knuckle Curve 81.6 mph · 103.3 mph EV
• 2025-09-16Sac Fly · Cutter 85.7 mph · 95.3 mph EV
• 2025-09-16Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 88.9 mph · 87.0 mph EV
• 2025-06-04Strikeout · Sweeper 83.8 mph
• 2025-06-04Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph · 96.9 mph EV
• 2025-06-04Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 90.8 mph · 84.5 mph EV
• 2024-08-28Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.5 mph · 95.7 mph EV
• 2024-08-28Walk · Sinker 92.9 mph
• 2024-08-28Single · Knuckle Curve 83.6 mph · 98.5 mph EV