Julio Rodríguez vs Gavin Williams

The Almanac's Take

Julio Rodríguez sits at .256/.314/.732 through 89 games — solid but not a profile that screams upside against a same-handed starter, and with `platoon_advantage` false, he has no conventional handedness edge here. Gavin Williams has been genuinely tough this season: 10.9 K/9, a 3.92 K/BB ratio, and a 1.14 WHIP across 119 innings, and Rodríguez's 21.5% strikeout rate makes that pairing uncomfortable. The head-to-head is 12 plate appearances — barely a footnote — so the 3-for-10 line and 91.0 mph average exit velo don't change the read. The season matchup context just doesn't favor Rodríguez here.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.300

3-for-10

PA

12

HR

0

K

4

BB

2

Pitches seen

39

Avg exit velo

91.0 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-06-28Strikeout · Sweeper 89.7 mph
• 2026-06-28Walk · Sweeper 89.7 mph
• 2026-06-28Strikeout · Sweeper 89.3 mph
• 2026-03-27Strikeout · Sinker 96.6 mph
• 2026-03-27Strikeout · Sinker 98.4 mph
• 2026-03-27Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 98.3 mph
• 2025-08-30Single · Sweeper 86.1 mph · 105.9 mph EV
• 2025-08-30Field Out · Sinker 94.8 mph · 107.0 mph EV
• 2025-08-30Field Out · Sinker 95.5 mph · 94.1 mph EV
• 2025-06-13Single · Sinker 95.1 mph · 70.5 mph EV
• 2025-06-13Double · Sweeper 83.7 mph · 89.7 mph EV
• 2025-06-13Field Out · Sinker 95.1 mph · 78.7 mph EV