Jarren Duran vs Trevor Rogers

The Almanac's Take

Duran against Rogers is a left-on-left matchup, so no platoon edge here. The bigger issue is Duran's season: .191/.251/.598 OPS across 367 PA is a genuine struggle, with a 29.7% strikeout rate that Rogers — even at a modest 7.2 K/9 — can exploit. Rogers carries a 4.28 ERA and 1.3 WHIP, so he's not exactly untouchable, and the 10 home runs surrendered in 96.2 innings leave some power upside for Duran's 13-HR pace. The 12 career PA between these two (0-for-9 with three strikeouts, though 93.3 mph average exit velo suggests harder contact than the line shows) is too thin to mean much either way.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.000

0-for-12

PA

12

HR

0

K

3

BB

0

Pitches seen

45

Avg exit velo

93.3 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-06-04Field Out · Sinker 92.9 mph · 105.8 mph EV
• 2026-06-04Field Out · Changeup 88.0 mph · 83.5 mph EV
• 2026-06-04Field Out · Cutter 82.8 mph · 102.2 mph EV
• 2026-04-25Strikeout · Sinker 93.3 mph
• 2025-08-18Sac Fly · Slider 80.8 mph · 99.2 mph EV
• 2025-08-18Strikeout · Slider 81.6 mph
• 2025-08-18Force Out · Sinker 93.8 mph · 58.6 mph EV
• 2025-05-24Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 93.6 mph · 105.4 mph EV
• 2025-05-24Field Out · Changeup 85.1 mph · 100.0 mph EV
• 2025-05-24Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.3 mph · 93.3 mph EV
• 2024-07-03Field Out · Slider 82.6 mph · 91.7 mph EV
• 2024-07-03Strikeout · Slider 83.0 mph