Jake Cronenworth vs Mitch Keller

The Almanac's Take

Cronenworth is a left-handed hitter facing a righty in Keller, so the platoon edge is real — but it's hard to lean on it much when Cronenworth is hitting .203/.276/.567 OPS through 163 PA this season. Keller himself isn't exactly suppressing damage, carrying a 5.14 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 13 home runs allowed over 103.1 innings. The head-to-head is 18 PA — too thin to weight heavily — though Cronenworth's 86.9 mph average exit velocity in those meetings doesn't inspire confidence either. The season-level read here is two struggling players, with Keller's home run vulnerability the more actionable angle than anything Cronenworth's form suggests.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.200

3-for-15

PA

18

HR

1

K

2

BB

3

Pitches seen

68

Avg exit velo

86.9 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-04-08Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 93.9 mph · 73.6 mph EV
• 2026-04-08Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.4 mph · 85.9 mph EV
• 2025-05-30Walk · Sinker 92.2 mph
• 2025-05-30Field Out · Changeup 88.0 mph · 78.6 mph EV
• 2024-08-14Strikeout · Sinker 91.8 mph
• 2024-08-14Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 94.0 mph
• 2024-08-14Home Run · Sweeper 81.2 mph · 108.2 mph EV
• 2023-06-28Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 94.9 mph
• 2023-06-28Field Out · Curveball 77.2 mph · 78.4 mph EV
• 2023-06-28Field Out · Cutter 89.1 mph · 84.1 mph EV
• 2022-05-01Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 99.7 mph · 94.2 mph EV
• 2022-05-01Field Out · Slider 86.5 mph · 95.3 mph EV
• 2022-05-01Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph · 73.0 mph EV
• 2021-05-04Field Out · Changeup 91.2 mph · 102.5 mph EV
• 2021-05-04Single · 4-Seam Fastball 95.9 mph · 62.5 mph EV
• 2021-04-15Sac Fly · 4-Seam Fastball 94.8 mph · 90.9 mph EV
• 2021-04-15Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 95.1 mph
• 2021-04-15Double · Curveball 78.6 mph · 102.8 mph EV