Colt Keith vs Michael Wacha

The Almanac's Take

Keith is a lefty facing Wacha's right hand, so the platoon edge is real. The season numbers are modest — .252/.286/.419, a 4.5% walk rate, and a 21.6% strikeout rate — but the .419 slug shows enough pop on contact to matter against a pitcher allowing 16 home runs across 132.1 innings. The H2H is a 27-PA sample, barely above the noise floor, but 9 hits at .333 with an 89.3 mph average exit velocity and zero walks is at least consistent color: Keith has made contact, just nothing loud. Wacha's 3.60 ERA and 1.17 WHIP are fine, not dominant — there's room here for a single or two.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.333

9-for-27

PA

27

HR

0

K

6

BB

0

Pitches seen

83

Avg exit velo

89.3 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-07-25Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 94.2 mph
• 2026-07-25Single · Changeup 80.2 mph · 78.0 mph EV
• 2026-07-25Field Out · Changeup 79.1 mph · 56.0 mph EV
• 2026-07-25Double · Slider 80.4 mph · 85.7 mph EV
• 2026-05-09Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.8 mph · 76.9 mph EV
• 2026-05-09Strikeout · Sinker 94.4 mph
• 2026-05-09Strikeout · Changeup 81.4 mph
• 2025-08-31Double · 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph · 106.1 mph EV
• 2025-08-31Field Out · Cutter 86.1 mph · 86.0 mph EV
• 2025-08-31Strikeout · Slider 83.3 mph
• 2025-08-23Field Out · Curveball 73.9 mph · 80.1 mph EV
• 2025-08-23Strikeout · Cutter 87.4 mph
• 2025-08-23Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 92.3 mph · 102.3 mph EV
• 2025-05-31Single · Cutter 89.4 mph · 105.2 mph EV
• 2025-05-31Field Out · Changeup 80.4 mph · 79.6 mph EV
• 2025-05-31Field Out · Curveball 74.7 mph · 93.2 mph EV
• 2025-04-20Single · 4-Seam Fastball 93.0 mph · 106.3 mph EV
• 2025-04-20Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 90.7 mph · 87.5 mph EV
• 2024-08-04Single · 4-Seam Fastball 93.8 mph · 105.5 mph EV
• 2024-08-04Field Out · Slider 82.7 mph · 86.9 mph EV
• 2024-08-04Field Out · Changeup 81.6 mph · 88.3 mph EV
• 2024-05-20Double · 4-Seam Fastball 93.7 mph · 78.0 mph EV
• 2024-05-20Single · Changeup 81.4 mph · 108.4 mph EV
• 2024-05-20Single · 4-Seam Fastball 92.4 mph · 109.4 mph EV
• 2024-04-28Field Out · Changeup 80.3 mph · 71.6 mph EV
• 2024-04-28Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 93.2 mph · 83.5 mph EV
• 2024-04-28Strikeout · Changeup 79.0 mph