Carlos Correa vs Yusei Kikuchi

The Almanac's Take

Correa holds the platoon edge here as a righty against Kikuchi's left arm, and the season numbers back it up — a .371 OBP and .789 OPS over 140 PA suggest a disciplined, productive hitter right now, which is the real signal. Kikuchi has been genuinely rough in seven starts: 5.81 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, and a 4.1 BB/9 that tells you hitters don't need to chase. The H2H is legitimately eye-catching — .531 average over 34 PA — but 34 PA is still a small sample, so treat that .531 as context rather than conviction. What holds up across both reads is Correa squaring Kikuchi up: 91.5 mph average exit velo in those meetings, and a pitcher currently struggling to limit damage.

Career head-to-head

AVG

.531

17-for-32

PA

34

HR

0

K

6

BB

2

Pitches seen

131

Avg exit velo

91.5 mph

Career meetings in the Statcast era (2015–present). Even a clear edge over a handful of plate appearances is a small sample — read it as color, not a projection.

Pitch mix to the batter

Plate-appearance log

• 2026-03-27Single · Cutter 90.9 mph · 107.6 mph EV
• 2026-03-27Single · Cutter 93.4 mph · 103.8 mph EV
• 2025-09-01Single · Slider 84.6 mph · 106.5 mph EV
• 2025-09-01Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 95.8 mph
• 2025-09-01Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 97.6 mph
• 2025-04-26Single · Changeup 84.6 mph · 108.3 mph EV
• 2025-04-26Single · Slider 86.4 mph · 94.8 mph EV
• 2024-05-10Field Out · Curveball 85.9 mph · 79.8 mph EV
• 2024-05-10Field Out · Curveball 85.4 mph · 80.0 mph EV
• 2024-05-10Single · Curveball 83.7 mph · 73.3 mph EV
• 2023-10-04Single · Slider 90.7 mph · 82.1 mph EV
• 2023-06-09Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 95.5 mph · 79.3 mph EV
• 2023-06-09Walk · 4-Seam Fastball 96.1 mph
• 2023-03-23Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 95.0 mph
• 2023-03-23Single · 4-Seam Fastball 94.2 mph
• 2021-09-06Walk · Changeup 90.6 mph
• 2021-08-31Double · 4-Seam Fastball 95.1 mph · 99.5 mph EV
• 2021-08-31Single · Slider 81.5 mph · 112.4 mph EV
• 2021-08-31Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 96.5 mph
• 2021-08-20Single · Slider 82.5 mph · 96.6 mph EV
• 2021-08-20Triple · 4-Seam Fastball 95.2 mph · 102.1 mph EV
• 2021-07-28Strikeout · 4-Seam Fastball 94.1 mph
• 2021-07-28Single · Changeup 85.4 mph · 103.3 mph EV
• 2021-07-28Single · Slider 83.4 mph · 57.0 mph EV
• 2021-04-29Double · Cutter 93.0 mph · 107.5 mph EV
• 2021-04-29Field Out · Changeup 86.4 mph · 76.6 mph EV
• 2021-04-29Grounded Into Double Play · Cutter 92.7 mph · 102.4 mph EV
• 2021-04-16Field Out · Slider 82.6 mph · 86.3 mph EV
• 2021-04-16Single · Cutter 92.8 mph · 84.5 mph EV
• 2021-04-16Grounded Into Double Play · Slider 82.7 mph · 90.9 mph EV
• 2020-07-26Strikeout · Changeup 89.8 mph
• 2020-07-26Single · Slider 86.0 mph · 89.2 mph EV
• 2019-08-02Field Out · 4-Seam Fastball 91.2 mph · 80.0 mph EV
• 2019-08-02Field Out · Slider 86.7 mph · 82.9 mph EV