MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

August 2, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Aug 2, 2:16 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, and it's a complicated one. Scherzer projects to just 3.9 IP and 3.2 Ks against St. Louis — a matchup rated unfavorable — and 53 days of extended rest introduces real rust risk that the medium-confidence tag reflects. His 9.49 season ERA is the context you're working against, not around. The 2.2 projected earned runs sounds workable until you clock the innings limit; that's a short leash with ceiling capped by workload. Thin slate, one arm, low conviction — the grid below is what it is today.

#1Max Scherzer(RHP)

vs St. Louis Cardinals

GS: 7
IP: 24.7
W-L: 1-4
ERA: 9.49
WHIP: 1.82
K/9: 6.60
BB/9: 5.10
K/BB: 1.29

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 3.9
K: 3.2
ER: 2.2
H: 3.9
HR: 0.20
BB: 2.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 6.8
Floor: 1.4
Ceiling: 12.2
Rest: 53d

Extended rest (53 days) — rust risk

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for Max Scherzer.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-06-10	3.3	5	5	3	4	2	82	L
2026-04-18	6.0	5	2	1	1	0	74	—
2026-03-31	6.0	4	1	1	4	1	83	W

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