1 game · 2 starters · Updated Jul 5, 7:31 AM ET
Two-game holiday slate, so options are limited. Ashcraft is the cleaner projection — 5.9 Ks over 5.6 innings against Washington, high confidence, no flags, and a 3.33 season ERA that undersells a 2.3 projected ER tonight. The matchup grades unfavorable, which is the one real friction point, but the projection holds up. Palmquist has the better season ERA at 2.08 and a nearly identical projected line (5.4 Ks, 5.1 IP, 2.2 ER), but confidence is low and 10 days of extended rest introduces genuine rust risk worth pricing in before committing.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | 6.0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 97 | W |
| 2026-06-24 | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 86 | W |
| 2026-06-17 | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 93 | W |
| 2026-06-12 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 90 | — |
| 2026-06-06 | 5.0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 86 | L |
Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | 3.3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 58 | — |
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