MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 26, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

15 games · 29 starters · Updated Jun 26, 5:09 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Sasaki is the clearest arm on a 29-starter slate: elite matchup tag, San Diego's lineup flagged as struggling against his pitch mix, and a projected 1.6 ER over 6.2 innings. The seven days of extended rest is the one real hesitation — rust risk is real — but the arsenal advantage offsets most of it. Misiorowski draws the same rest flag against Chicago, and his 1.45 ERA makes the rust concern harder to ignore without more context. Wheeler is the cleanest high-confidence option with no flags attached: 6.7 projected strikeouts, 1.9 ER, favorable matchup, and a 2.11 season ERA to back it.

#1Paul Skenes(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

PNC Park · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
82.7
W-L
6-6
ERA
3.27
WHIP
0.93
K/9
10.60
BB/9
1.60
K/BB
6.47

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.8
ER
1.9
H
5.1
HR
0.30
BB
1.5
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.6
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
35.2
Rest
6d
  • Cincinnati Reds has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Paul Skenes.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-206.042281104L
2026-06-146.0421102104L
2026-06-096.062270103
2026-06-034.773170109
2026-05-235.09412198L

#2Jacob Misiorowski(RHP)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

American Family Field · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
93.0
W-L
8-3
ERA
1.45
WHIP
0.75
K/9
13.40
BB/9
2.20
K/BB
6.00

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.8
ER
1.9
H
5.1
HR
0.20
BB
1.9
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.4
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.8
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Jacob Misiorowski.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-196.05217091L
2026-06-129.010015095W
2026-06-067.04038098W
2026-05-317.03008088W
2026-05-257.021112096W

#3Roki Sasaki(RHP)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
13
IP
68.0
W-L
3-4
ERA
4.76
WHIP
1.29
K/9
9.30
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
2.80

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
6.2
K
6.5
ER
1.6
H
4.9
HR
0.30
BB
2.3
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.3
Floor
4.0
Ceiling
34.6
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk
  • San Diego Padres struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Roki Sasaki.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-195.74316290
2026-06-124.37734191L
2026-06-057.020210098
2026-05-305.33117184
2026-05-235.04224087W

#4Zack Wheeler(RHP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Citi Field · Pre-Game

GS
11
IP
68.3
W-L
7-1
ERA
2.11
WHIP
0.88
K/9
9.10
BB/9
2.40
K/BB
3.83

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.7
ER
1.9
H
5.1
HR
0.40
BB
2.2
QS%
80%
Win%
45%
DK pts
19.0
Floor
3.9
Ceiling
34.1
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Zack Wheeler.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-215.742371104W
2026-06-156.02039097W
2026-06-096.06105196
2026-06-047.022381104W
2026-05-296.05414490L

#5Payton Tolle(RHP)

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Fenway Park · Pre-Game

GS
10
IP
59.7
W-L
3-5
ERA
3.32
WHIP
1.07
K/9
8.30
BB/9
2.40
K/BB
3.44

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
6.3
ER
2.5
H
5.6
HR
0.20
BB
2.2
QS%
78%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.7
Floor
3.4
Ceiling
30.0
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Payton Tolle.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-216.06322179L
2026-06-165.04326290L
2026-06-096.09413094L
2026-06-036.07025099W
2026-05-226.04329085

#6Trevor Rogers(RHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS
14
IP
73.0
W-L
4-7
ERA
5.30
WHIP
1.36
K/9
6.70
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.25

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
6.2
K
6.1
ER
2.5
H
5.5
HR
0.30
BB
1.8
QS%
78%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.6
Floor
3.4
Ceiling
29.8
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Trevor Rogers.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-207.01026096W
2026-06-146.05224082L
2026-06-095.76313197
2026-06-045.75113087W
2026-05-296.06413284

#7Steven Cruz(RHP)

Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox

Rate Field · Pre-Game

GS
21
IP
23.0
W-L
1-2
ERA
6.26
WHIP
1.57
K/9
11.70
BB/9
5.10
K/BB
2.31

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
6.0
ER
2.1
H
5.0
HR
0.20
BB
2.0
QS%
43%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.0
Floor
3.3
Ceiling
28.7
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

#8Nathan Eovaldi(RHP)

Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre · Pre-Game

GS
14
IP
86.3
W-L
7-6
ERA
4.07
WHIP
1.20
K/9
9.00
BB/9
2.10
K/BB
4.30

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.6
K
5.6
ER
2.2
H
5.0
HR
0.30
BB
1.1
QS%
42%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.6
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
28.0
Rest
5d
  • Toronto Blue Jays has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Nathan Eovaldi.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-216.07319094W
2026-06-147.06316294W
2026-06-095.74433188L
2026-06-026.011417193
2026-05-237.05326197L

#9Walbert Ureña(RHP)

Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics

Angel Stadium · Pre-Game

GS
4
IP
11.3
W-L
0-3
ERA
4.76
WHIP
2.21
K/9
10.30
BB/9
7.90
K/BB
1.30

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
6.2
K
5.8
ER
2.6
H
5.6
HR
0.20
BB
2.0
QS%
77%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.6
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
28.0
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Walbert Ureña.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.04006090W
2026-06-157.07323188L
2026-06-095.030570107W
2026-06-036.03337199W
2026-05-296.05135192

#10J.T. Ginn(RHP)

Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels

Angel Stadium · Pre-Game

GS
17
IP
82.7
W-L
5-4
ERA
3.16
WHIP
1.21
K/9
7.90
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.09

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.2
K
5.6
ER
1.8
H
4.5
HR
0.30
BB
1.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.3
Floor
3.2
Ceiling
27.4
Rest
6d
  • Fastball velocity declining vs season average — fatigue concern

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for J.T. Ginn.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.37435098L
2026-06-156.06023098W
2026-06-095.78535197W
2026-06-046.02118188
2026-05-306.04034080W

#11Luis Castillo(RHP)

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
70.7
W-L
2-6
ERA
5.22
WHIP
1.39
K/9
8.80
BB/9
3.20
K/BB
2.76

Projection

Matchup · elite
IP
5.6
K
5.1
ER
1.8
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.7
QS%
46%
Win%
45%
DK pts
15.2
Floor
3.1
Ceiling
27.3
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Luis Castillo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-194.07404063
2026-06-135.77224184L
2026-06-075.721151100
2026-05-315.02123071W
2026-05-254.02026068

#12Max Meyer(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium · Pre-Game

GS
16
IP
90.0
W-L
8-0
ERA
2.80
WHIP
1.16
K/9
10.20
BB/9
3.40
K/BB
3.00

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.6
K
5.9
ER
2.7
H
5.4
HR
0.30
BB
2.1
QS%
38%
Win%
45%
DK pts
14.3
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
25.6
Rest
6d
  • St. Louis Cardinals has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Max Meyer.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.07227198W
2026-06-146.061390105W
2026-06-095.37225295
2026-06-037.02127092W
2026-05-296.065361106

#13Andrew Alvarez(RHP)

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Pre-Game

GS
9
IP
32.3
W-L
1-0
ERA
3.34
WHIP
1.36
K/9
10.30
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
3.08

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.2
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.9
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
24.9
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Andrew Alvarez.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-214.04106068
2026-06-154.05115058
2026-06-094.05254090
2026-06-034.74115182
2026-05-293.05321074

#14Spencer Arrighetti(RHP)

Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Pre-Game

GS
11
IP
63.0
W-L
6-3
ERA
3.29
WHIP
1.24
K/9
9.30
BB/9
4.40
K/BB
2.10

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.4
ER
2.4
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.3
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Spencer Arrighetti.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-206.06608390L
2026-06-146.084170101L
2026-06-086.04347095
2026-06-034.06413183
2026-05-225.02045089W

#15Will Warren(RHP)

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
78.3
W-L
7-2
ERA
3.33
WHIP
1.31
K/9
9.70
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
3.23

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.0
ER
2.0
H
4.5
HR
0.20
BB
2.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
13.3
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.9
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Will Warren.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.78228190L
2026-06-144.08231098
2026-06-084.33225091
2026-05-316.06035082W
2026-05-256.03233185

#16Taj Bradley(RHP)

Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies

Target Field · Pre-Game

GS
14
IP
76.7
W-L
6-3
ERA
4.11
WHIP
1.32
K/9
9.90
BB/9
3.80
K/BB
2.62

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
5.2
ER
2.4
H
4.8
HR
0.30
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.9
Floor
2.7
Ceiling
23.1
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Taj Bradley.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.03224191W
2026-06-146.754172101
2026-06-094.37533389L
2026-06-034.774550104L
2026-05-294.05426187

#17David Sandlin(RHP)

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals

Rate Field · Pre-Game

GS
3
IP
13.3
W-L
1-1
ERA
8.10
WHIP
1.43
K/9
9.50
BB/9
4.70
K/BB
2.00

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
5.1
ER
2.2
H
4.7
HR
0.20
BB
2.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.8
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
23.0
Rest
19d
  • Extended rest (19 days) — rust risk

Last 3 Starts

Recent starts for David Sandlin.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-073.33336281
2026-06-014.08844180L
2026-05-276.01104161W

#18Keider Montero(RHP)

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros

Comerica Park · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
80.7
W-L
3-5
ERA
3.68
WHIP
1.00
K/9
5.90
BB/9
1.90
K/BB
3.12

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.8
ER
2.5
H
4.9
HR
0.30
BB
0.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
12.4
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
22.2
Rest
5d
  • Houston Astros has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Keider Montero.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-217.06303176
2026-06-116.34014096W
2026-06-065.06411179L
2026-05-316.02004065
2026-05-265.78417189

#19Zach Thornton(RHP)

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Citi Field · Pre-Game

GS
1
IP
4.3
W-L
0-1
ERA
8.31
WHIP
1.38
K/9
6.20
BB/9
4.20
K/BB
1.50

Projection

Matchup · neutral
IP
5.1
K
4.5
ER
2.3
H
4.8
HR
0.70
BB
1.7
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.8
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
21.2
Rest
37d
  • Extended rest (37 days) — rust risk
  • low sample

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Zach Thornton.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-05-204.34423180L

#20Joey Cantillo(RHP)

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners

Progressive Field · Pre-Game

GS
16
IP
80.0
W-L
6-3
ERA
4.27
WHIP
1.40
K/9
8.50
BB/9
4.20
K/BB
2.05

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.7
K
4.9
ER
2.4
H
4.5
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.7
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
21.0
Rest
6d
  • Fastball velocity declining vs season average — fatigue concern

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Joey Cantillo.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-208.04119098W
2026-06-135.06104079W
2026-06-075.09727397L
2026-06-024.06434191
2026-05-215.73036098W

#21Walker Buehler(RHP)

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Petco Park · Scheduled

GS
15
IP
72.7
W-L
4-3
ERA
3.96
WHIP
1.32
K/9
8.10
BB/9
2.80
K/BB
2.83

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
5.1
K
4.9
ER
3.0
H
5.2
HR
0.30
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.4
Floor
2.4
Ceiling
20.4
Rest
6d
  • Los Angeles Dodgers lineup has a 0.349 xwOBA vs RHP — tough matchup
  • Los Angeles Dodgers has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Walker Buehler.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.35117087
2026-06-145.06105186W
2026-06-084.78124086
2026-06-036.04126086
2026-05-275.33202058L

#22Patrick Corbin(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers

Rogers Centre · Pre-Game

GS
13
IP
59.7
W-L
2-3
ERA
4.98
WHIP
1.58
K/9
6.50
BB/9
3.30
K/BB
1.95

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.2
ER
2.5
H
4.5
HR
0.20
BB
0.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.1
Floor
2.1
Ceiling
18.1
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Patrick Corbin.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-203.763341101
2026-06-143.77203076
2026-06-083.04543179L
2026-06-035.06421185L
2026-05-236.05107084W

#23Nick Martinez(RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Tropicana Field · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
89.0
W-L
6-2
ERA
2.73
WHIP
1.16
K/9
5.60
BB/9
1.70
K/BB
3.24

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
3.9
ER
2.3
H
4.4
HR
0.20
BB
0.8
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
10.0
Floor
2.1
Ceiling
17.9
Rest
5d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Nick Martinez.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-216.04335188
2026-06-155.35316196
2026-06-097.06302073W
2026-06-034.09611258L
2026-05-297.08205088W

#24Andrew Abbott(RHP)

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park · Pre-Game

GS
16
IP
84.7
W-L
5-4
ERA
3.72
WHIP
1.41
K/9
6.80
BB/9
4.10
K/BB
1.64

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.5
ER
2.6
H
4.6
HR
0.30
BB
1.9
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.8
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.6
Rest
6d
  • Pittsburgh Pirates has hit this pitch mix well — arsenal matchup favors offense

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Andrew Abbott.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.05136197W
2026-06-145.04135195
2026-06-086.043261101L
2026-06-026.053450105
2026-05-276.052142101L

#25Michael McGreevy(RHP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins

Busch Stadium · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
83.3
W-L
3-6
ERA
3.35
WHIP
1.15
K/9
5.70
BB/9
2.20
K/BB
2.65

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.7
ER
1.8
H
3.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.0
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.6
Floor
2.0
Ceiling
17.2
Rest
7d
  • Extended rest (7 days) — rust risk

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Michael McGreevy.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-195.08512195L
2026-06-146.07222189
2026-06-076.05205283
2026-06-016.05221087L
2026-05-264.07536189L

#26Tomoyuki Sugano(RHP)

Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins

Target Field · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
79.3
W-L
8-4
ERA
4.54
WHIP
1.30
K/9
5.20
BB/9
2.50
K/BB
2.09

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
1.9
H
3.7
HR
0.20
BB
1.1
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
9.1
Floor
1.9
Ceiling
16.3
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Tomoyuki Sugano.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-206.04105185W
2026-06-145.09822197W
2026-06-095.06323193W
2026-06-025.05225096W
2026-05-274.76313283L

#27Zac Gallen(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field · Pre-Game

GS
16
IP
79.7
W-L
3-6
ERA
6.44
WHIP
1.64
K/9
5.90
BB/9
2.80
K/BB
2.08

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
2.0
H
3.8
HR
0.30
BB
1.2
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.8
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.8
Rest
6d
  • Tampa Bay Rays struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Zac Gallen.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-204.012922081L
2026-06-146.06324285
2026-06-095.39413094
2026-06-035.09421190L
2026-05-295.08512384

#28Colin Rea(RHP)

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Field · Pre-Game

GS
15
IP
74.0
W-L
4-5
ERA
5.11
WHIP
1.41
K/9
6.60
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.16

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.7
ER
2.0
H
3.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.6
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.8
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.8
Rest
6d

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Colin Rea.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-205.33003078
2026-06-144.76432190L
2026-06-094.79732279L
2026-06-035.34223069
2026-05-237.04334298L

#29Reynaldo López(RHP)

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park · Scheduled

GS
17
IP
41.7
W-L
3-1
ERA
3.67
WHIP
1.42
K/9
8.40
BB/9
4.50
K/BB
1.86

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.6
ER
1.8
H
3.7
HR
0.10
BB
2.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.5
Floor
1.8
Ceiling
15.2
Rest
5d
  • San Francisco Giants struggles against this pitch mix — arsenal matchup favors pitcher

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Reynaldo López.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-06-213.01013058
2026-04-145.05336096
2026-04-074.73027180
2026-04-025.04113179W
2026-03-286.03123177

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