One starter on the board today, so this is a thin slate — plan accordingly. Trevor Rogers draws an unfavorable matchup against Boston and his season ERA sits at 6.84, which makes the high-confidence tag on his projection a little surprising at first glance. The model has him at 3.9 innings and 3.7 projected strikeouts, which is a modest line even before accounting for the rough matchup. With just 2.0 projected earned runs in under four frames, the floor isn't a disaster, but the upside simply isn't there. No flags on workload or velocity, but one arm against a tough lineup isn't much of a slate.
#1Trevor Rogers(LHP)
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park · Final
GS
18
IP
96.7
W-L
6-7
ERA
4.28
WHIP
1.30
K/9
7.20
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.41
Projection
Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.4
ER
2.9
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
32%
DK pts
9.2
Floor
1.9
Ceiling
16.5
Rest
6d
Fenway Park boosts run scoring by 6%
Hot conditions (89°F) slightly boost offense
Game total of 10.2 suggests a high-scoring environment