MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

June 4, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jul 20, 3:12 AM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, so this is a thin slate — plan accordingly. Trevor Rogers draws an unfavorable matchup against Boston and his season ERA sits at 6.84, which makes the high-confidence tag on his projection a little surprising at first glance. The model has him at 3.9 innings and 3.7 projected strikeouts, which is a modest line even before accounting for the rough matchup. With just 2.0 projected earned runs in under four frames, the floor isn't a disaster, but the upside simply isn't there. No flags on workload or velocity, but one arm against a tough lineup isn't much of a slate.

#1Trevor Rogers(LHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park · Final

GS
18
IP
96.7
W-L
6-7
ERA
4.28
WHIP
1.30
K/9
7.20
BB/9
3.00
K/BB
2.41

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.4
ER
2.9
H
4.8
HR
0.20
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
32%
DK pts
9.2
Floor
1.9
Ceiling
16.5
Rest
6d
  • Fenway Park boosts run scoring by 6%
  • Hot conditions (89°F) slightly boost offense
  • Game total of 10.2 suggests a high-scoring environment
  • low sample

Last 5 Starts

Recent starts for Trevor Rogers.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-05-296.06413284
2026-05-244.74422190L
2026-05-183.78723088L
2026-05-124.06633273L
2026-04-195.06525295L

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