Thin slate today — two starters, both flagged medium confidence, so treat projections with appropriate skepticism. Rasmussen is the clear focal point: 6.5 projected Ks over 6.2 innings against Cleveland, with an elite matchup grade, 50°F at Progressive Field, and a ballpark that suppresses run scoring 9% — everything pointing toward a low-run environment that flatters his 1.4 projected ER. His 3.36 season ERA backs the projection. Kikuchi is a harder sell at a 5.81 ERA against the White Sox; the neutral matchup and modest 5.1 projected Ks over 5.1 innings don't offer much of a margin for error.