MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 19, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

1 game · 1 starter · Updated Jul 19, 11:37 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

One starter on the board today, so this is a short read. Trevor Rogers against Cleveland projects to 5.9 Ks over 5.6 innings with a 1.6 projected ER — a favorable matchup on paper, though his 6.84 season ERA keeps confidence at medium and warrants real skepticism about the floor. Two environmental factors push the same direction: Progressive Field suppresses run scoring by 9%, and 48°F game-time temps should further depress offense. The projection looks rosier than his track record justifies, so treat the upside as situational rather than a reflection of consistent stuff.

#1Trevor Rogers(LHP)

Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field · Final

GS: 18
IP: 96.7
W-L: 6-7
ERA: 4.28
WHIP: 1.30
K/9: 7.20
BB/9: 3.00
K/BB: 2.41

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 5.6
K: 5.9
ER: 1.6
H: 4.6
HR: 0.30
BB: 1.4
QS%: 47%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 17.4
Floor: 3.6
Ceiling: 31.2
Rest: 5d

Progressive Field suppresses run scoring by 9%
Cold conditions (48°F) suppress offense
low sample

Last 4 Starts

Recent starts for Trevor Rogers.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-04-14	4.7	9	4	1	6	1	99	L
2026-04-07	6.0	6	2	0	6	0	101	—
2026-04-01	6.0	6	2	1	3	0	91	W
2026-03-26	7.0	3	0	4	5	0	88	W

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