MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 11, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

2 games · 3 starters · Updated Jun 4, 8:19 PM ET

The Almanac's Take

Thin slate of three starters, all at medium confidence, so treat these as soft lean territory rather than firm locks. Janson Junk is the cleanest arm here — 5.5 projected Ks across 5.6 innings against Detroit, a favorable matchup, and 50°F conditions that should suppress offense further and help his 1.9 projected ER hold. The season ERA of 4.8 is a real caveat, but the projection model likes the setup today. Pfaadt and Walker both draw unfavorable matchups against each other's teams and neither projects past 4.5 innings, with Walker's 9.13 season ERA making his 2.2 projected ER read particularly fragile.

#1Janson Junk(RHP)

Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park · Final

GS
11
IP
60.0
W-L
3-5
ERA
4.80
WHIP
1.30
K/9
6.50
BB/9
2.00
K/BB
3.31

Projection

Matchup · favorable
IP
5.6
K
5.5
ER
1.9
H
4.8
HR
0.10
BB
1.2
QS%
45%
Win%
45%
DK pts
16.0
Floor
3.3
Ceiling
28.7
Rest
5d
  • Cold conditions (50°F) suppress offense

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Janson Junk.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-067.37213187L
2026-03-314.35215079

#2Brandon Pfaadt(RHP)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Citizens Bank Park · Final

GS
13
IP
38.0
W-L
0-1
ERA
6.39
WHIP
1.50
K/9
7.30
BB/9
4.00
K/BB
1.82

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
4.5
K
4.5
ER
2.2
H
4.3
HR
0.20
BB
1.4
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
11.1
Floor
2.3
Ceiling
19.9
Rest
6d

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Brandon Pfaadt.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-054.76322179
2026-03-316.06513085

#3Taijuan Walker(RHP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Citizens Bank Park · Final

GS
5
IP
22.7
W-L
1-4
ERA
9.13
WHIP
2.07
K/9
6.70
BB/9
4.40
K/BB
1.55

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable
IP
3.9
K
3.7
ER
2.2
H
3.9
HR
0.30
BB
1.5
QS%
15%
Win%
45%
DK pts
8.4
Floor
1.7
Ceiling
15.1
Rest
6d

Last 2 Starts

Recent starts for Taijuan Walker.
DateIPHERBBKHRPDec
2026-04-055.07424387L
2026-03-304.710632099L

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