Thin slate today — one game, two starters, both playing in the same frozen box. Williams is the clear lean: 5.9 projected Ks over 5.6 innings against a favorable Royals matchup, backed by a 3.07 ERA on the season and medium confidence in the projection. Progressive Field already suppresses run scoring by 9%, and 32°F at first pitch pushes that environment even further toward pitchers, making his 1.6 projected ER feel attainable. Cameron draws a neutral matchup with low-confidence projections — 5.1 Ks, 5.1 IP, 1.7 projected ER — and at a 4.22 ERA, he's the distant second option in a very short field.