2 games · 2 starters · Updated Jul 13, 4:49 AM ET
Two-game slate, both projections flagged low-confidence — treat the numbers as directional, not precise. Cabrera is the clearer lean: 6.2 projected Ks over 6.2 innings with a 1.3 projected ER against Cleveland, backed by a matchup graded elite and a park that suppresses run scoring by 9%. The 42°F conditions add another layer of suppression. His 5.1 season ERA is the obvious counter-argument, and the low-confidence tag means the projection is doing real work here. Buehler draws an unfavorable matchup at Fenway, which boosts run scoring by 6%, and his 4.5 projected innings and 2.4 projected ER make him a difficult sell on a short slate.
Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field · Final
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 80 | W |
San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park · Final
| Date | IP | H | ER | BB | K | HR | P | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 72 | L |
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