MLB Starting Pitchers · Projections & Recent Form

April 1, 2026 MLB Starting Pitchers

4 games · 5 starters · Updated Jun 4, 5:44 AM ET

The Almanac's Take

Thin five-game slate and every projection carries a low-confidence tag, so treat these numbers as directional, not firm. Gausman against Colorado is the cleanest line — 6.9 projected Ks across 6.2 IP with only 0.9 projected ER in a favorable matchup, and the dome neutralizes any April weather risk. Sale's 1.89 season ERA is the standout number on the board, and his 6.6 projected Ks against the Athletics in a favorable spot make him worth stacking around despite the slightly higher 1.9 projected ER. Skenes has no projections at all — just a 3.15 season ERA and an opponent — skip him until coverage improves. Severino draws Atlanta in an unfavorable matchup with only 4.5 projected IP; he's the clear fade.

#1Kevin Gausman(RHP)

Toronto Blue Jays vs Colorado Rockies

Rogers Centre · Final

GS: 13
IP: 75.0
W-L: 4-4
ERA: 3.48
WHIP: 1.09
K/9: 8.90
BB/9: 1.70
K/BB: 5.29

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.9
ER: 0.9
H: 4.5
HR: 0.20
BB: 0.3
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 22.9
Floor: 4.7
Ceiling: 41.1
Rest: 5d

Dome/retractable roof — weather neutral

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Kevin Gausman.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-03-27	6.0	1	1	0	11	1	83	—

#2Freddy Peralta(RHP)

New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium · Final

GS: 13
IP: 72.0
W-L: 4-4
ERA: 3.37
WHIP: 1.31
K/9: 9.20
BB/9: 3.70
K/BB: 2.47

Projection

Matchup · elite

IP: 6.2
K: 6.4
ER: 1.6
H: 5.0
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.4
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 19.5
Floor: 4.0
Ceiling: 35.0
Rest: 6d

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Freddy Peralta.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-03-26	5.0	6	4	0	7	2	80	W

#3Chris Sale(LHP)

Atlanta Braves vs Athletics

Truist Park · Final

GS: 10
IP: 62.0
W-L: 7-3
ERA: 1.89
WHIP: 0.87
K/9: 10.50
BB/9: 2.00
K/BB: 5.14

Projection

Matchup · favorable

IP: 6.2
K: 6.6
ER: 1.9
H: 5.2
HR: 0.20
BB: 1.8
QS%: 80%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 19.0
Floor: 3.9
Ceiling: 34.1
Rest: 5d

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Chris Sale.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-03-27	6.0	3	0	3	6	0	88	W

#4Luis Severino(RHP)

Athletics vs Atlanta Braves

Truist Park · Final

GS: 12
IP: 62.7
W-L: 2-6
ERA: 4.16
WHIP: 1.47
K/9: 9.30
BB/9: 4.50
K/BB: 2.10

Projection

Matchup · unfavorable

IP: 4.5
K: 4.2
ER: 2.2
H: 4.3
HR: 0.40
BB: 3.4
QS%: 15%
Win%: 45%
DK pts: 9.3
Floor: 1.9
Ceiling: 16.7
Rest: 5d

Last 1 Start

Recent starts for Luis Severino.
Date	IP	H	ER	BB	K	HR	P	Dec
2026-03-27	5.0	3	2	3	3	0	84	—

#5Paul Skenes(RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park · Final

GS: 11
IP: 60.0
W-L: 6-4
ERA: 3.15
WHIP: 0.83
K/9: 9.80
BB/9: 1.30
K/BB: 7.22

Projection

Projection unavailable for this start.

Last 5 Starts

No completed starts on record.

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